Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Rafe Samuel
UTR PTT Stirling Men 01 | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam …: 77,1% Rafe …: 22,9%
¿Por qué Sam Ryan Ziegann?
UTR 12,76 vs 12,00 (+0,77) — Niveles similares
Sam …
W34-L37
48% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L1
Rafe …
W41-L22
65% WR
vs UTR 11,0
W2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sam … Rafe … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,19 3,75 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,37 77,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Sam …: +8,4% Rafe …: -8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #1340
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Rafe Samuel
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3113
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Record 2025 34W - 37L (48%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Rafe Samuel
Record 2025 41W - 22L (65%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,0
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Análisis Momentum
Sam Ryan Ziegann ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,5 vs 11,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 68,8500
first_serve_won_diff 71,7000
second_serve_won_diff 50,0000
bp_saved_diff 71,4000
bp_converted_diff 50,0000
aces_per_match_diff 9,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 15,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 28,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 15,5431
serve_consistency_p2 6,5429
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7700
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 6,2172
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21081
API ID 15307513
Gamdom ID 568555
Torneo UTR PTT Stirling Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21081,
    "api_id": 15307513,
    "gamdom_id": 568555,
    "player1": "Sam Ryan Ziegann",
    "player2": "Rafe Samuel",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Stirling Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7711,
    "prob_p2": 0.2289,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7711,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.76,
      "utr_ranking": 1340,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 37,
      "utr_v4_wr": 47.88732394366197,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.54,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Stefan Storch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Naufal Siddiq Kamaruzzaman"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.22,
          "opponent_name": "Thanapet Chanta"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.48,
          "opponent_name": "John Echeverria"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:27.580829+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3113,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.07936507936508,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.98,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.1,
          "opponent_name": "August Brostr\u00f8m Poulsen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Stijn Pel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kai Cowcher"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.99,
          "opponent_name": "Jeremy Gschwendtner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gregor Webster"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:16.433962+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.76,
      "ranking": 1340,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3113,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 71.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.217198223657647,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 68.85,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.7,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.543118313941662,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.542882404951364,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 50.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 28,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}