Nikoline Gullacksen vs Maria Penalver Aguilo
UTR PTT Stirling Women 01 | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 19:55
05 Ene 2026, 19:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikoline Gullacksen
Nikoline …: 55,4%
Maria …: 44,6%
¿Por qué Nikoline Gullacksen?
UTR 9,00 vs 8,61
(+0,27)
— Niveles similares
Nikoline …
W18-L23
44% WR
vs UTR 8,6
L4
Maria …
W24-L22
52% WR
vs UTR 8,4
L2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikoline … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,45 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,80 | 2,24 | 55,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikoline …: -10,9%
Maria …: +10,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikoline Gullacksen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3612
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Maria Penalver Aguilo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1463
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nikoline Gullacksen
Record 2025
18W - 23L (44%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
8,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Maria Penalver Aguilo
Record 2025
24W - 22L (52%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
8,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,8610 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0859 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0457 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21112
API ID
15307529
Gamdom ID
571224
Torneo
UTR PTT Stirling Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21112,
"api_id": 15307529,
"gamdom_id": 571224,
"player1": "Nikoline Gullacksen",
"player2": "Maria Penalver Aguilo",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Stirling Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T15:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5541,
"prob_p2": 0.4459,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5541,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3612,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 18,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 43.90243902439025,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Marie Slamenikova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Liubou Murashka"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.58,
"opponent_name": "Izabela Heinzova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Joanna Strzelecka"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:01.311033+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.61,
"utr_ranking": 1463,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.36,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.23,
"opponent_name": "Alexa Volkov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.94,
"opponent_name": "Laura Boehner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.43,
"opponent_name": "Charlotte Pikkaart"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.61,
"opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kuparev"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aniela Odrobina"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.019708+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3612,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.61,
"ranking": 1463,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.08588235294117652,
"utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.0456852791878126,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.860968911810524,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}