Barbora Krejcikova vs Malene Helgo
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Barbora …: 91,5%
Malene …: 8,5%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,41 vs 10,96
(+1,44)
— Ligera ventaja
Barbora …
Sin datos
Malene …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 10,9
L4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Barbora … | Malene … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,07 | 9,00 | 93,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,05 | 10,00 | 95,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,09 | 11,72 | 91,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Barbora …: +2,1%
Malene …: -2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Malene Helgo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#520
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/3 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Barbora Krejcikova
Sin datos UTR v4
Malene Helgo
Record 2025
23W - 26L (47%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
10,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 435,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,6923 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,0402 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 990,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 498,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 24,1778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 8,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,2620 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 17,2059 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 23,1118 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -52,8706 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8627 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,3486 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 281,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7669 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,0600 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6061 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 132,0143 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2879 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0650 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 129,4118 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3506 | |
| utr_advantage | 12,3077 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21152
API ID
15141989
Gamdom ID
479629
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21152,
"api_id": 15141989,
"gamdom_id": 479629,
"player1": "Barbora Krejcikova",
"player2": "Malene Helgo",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0714285714285714,
"p2": 9.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 10.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 9.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9147,
"prob_p2": 0.0853,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9147,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.96,
"utr_ranking": 520,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.88,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.46,
"opponent_name": "Anna Siskova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.76,
"opponent_name": "Bernarda Pera"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Heerae Im"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.16,
"opponent_name": "Alyssa Reguer"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.181511+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.96,
"ranking": 520,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.52,
"utr_p2": 0.3505882352941177,
"utr_diff": 1.4399999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 7.6923076923076925,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 990,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.700000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 28.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 12.307692307692305,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 498,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.0402208285265546,
"rank_advantage": 435,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 64.70588235294117,
"bp_converted_diff": -52.870588235294115,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 19.26196078431372,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7668711656441718,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8627450980392155,
"combined_confidence": 0.4533333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 17.20588235294118,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.059959100246418,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.606060606060602,
"surface_rank_synergy": 132.01428890465942,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
"second_serve_won_diff": 23.111764705882354,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.34857142857143,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 129.41176470588235,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 281,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28794117647058837,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06499999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 24.177777777777777,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}