Coco Gauff vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 65,2% Jessica …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,24 (+0,53) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Jessica … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,9%
Gamdom 1,09 7,80 91,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,87 65,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -19,0% Jessica …: +19,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Ranking #40
UTR Rating 12,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 13,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,6150
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 5501,0000
best_rank_diff 38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,0573
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,9286
surface_matches_ratio 1,1613
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,0143
first_serve_won_diff 7,7500
second_serve_won_diff 3,3616
bp_saved_diff -1,9169
bp_converted_diff 6,3280
aces_per_match_diff 1,5654
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 46,5650
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6848
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 3,2216
serve_consistency_p2 8,2787
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 55,0641
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1564
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0219
elite_surface_amplifier 42,1147
UTR
utr_diff 0,5300
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,5024
utr_advantage 4,2282
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21154
API ID 15141897
Gamdom ID 479613
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21154,
    "api_id": 15141897,
    "gamdom_id": 479613,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 7.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 7.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6519,
    "prob_p2": 0.3481,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6519,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 40,
      "utr_singles": 12.24,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.24,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.5300000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 13.666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 5501,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.9169354838709793,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": 4.228161148783415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.614959778036198,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.05734767025089,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.327956989247305,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.01429211469533,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6847826086956522,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5654121863799286,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.749999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.2216002113238305,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.278717266100594,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 55.06411718983032,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.361559139784937,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1612903225806452,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 46.565000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 42.11469534050178,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15644444444444439,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.021870967741935532,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.92857142857143,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}