Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 51,1% Jaume …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,56 (+0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Jaume … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,3%
Gamdom 1,41 2,95 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,96 2,04 51,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: -19,1% Jaume …: +19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #11
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 34/50 = 68,0%
Jaume Munar
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 5,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,7047
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2700,0000
best_rank_diff 29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,6923
surface_matches_ratio 1,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,9744
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19,1685
first_serve_won_diff 7,5280
second_serve_won_diff -0,4420
bp_saved_diff 11,0077
bp_converted_diff -3,2734
aces_per_match_diff 7,7686
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,6800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 52,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2213
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8609
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5172
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6432
serve_consistency_p2 11,6583
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,6380
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1530
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1270
elite_surface_amplifier 16,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0700
utr_p1 0,9318
utr_p2 0,9235
utr_advantage 0,4407
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21155
API ID 15141893
Gamdom ID 479614
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21155,
    "api_id": 15141893,
    "gamdom_id": 479614,
    "player1": "Taylor Fritz",
    "player2": "Jaume Munar",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5105,
    "prob_p2": 0.4895,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5105,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 11,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.56,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 11,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.56,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 5.5,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 2700,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.007714285714286,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.4406672961913773,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.2734285714285676,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 19.16854285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.768571428571429,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.528000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.643154227740821,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.658252489363779,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.637984737907402,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.44199999999999307,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.680000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 16.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 52,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15300000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.127,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.692307692307679,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}