Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 51,1%
Jaume …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,56
(+0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Jaume … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 2,95 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,96 | 2,04 | 51,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylor …: -19,1%
Jaume …: +19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#11
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
34/50 = 68,0%
Jaume Munar
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7047 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2700,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,6923 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,1685 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,5280 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4420 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,0077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,2734 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,7686 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2213 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8609 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6432 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6583 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,6380 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1530 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1270 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9235 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4407 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21155
API ID
15141893
Gamdom ID
479614
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21155,
"api_id": 15141893,
"gamdom_id": 479614,
"player1": "Taylor Fritz",
"player2": "Jaume Munar",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5105,
"prob_p2": 0.4895,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5105,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 11,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.71,
"ranking": 11,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 5.5,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 2700,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.007714285714286,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.4406672961913773,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.2734285714285676,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 19.16854285714286,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.768571428571429,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.528000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.643154227740821,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.658252489363779,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.637984737907402,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.44199999999999307,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.680000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 52,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15300000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.127,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.692307692307679,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}