Alexander Zverev vs Hubert Hurkacz
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 69,4% Hubert …: 30,6%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,65 (+0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Hubert … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,20 4,60 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,26 69,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -6,8% Hubert …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 69,0000
rank_ratio 24,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,1781
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 4345,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,4116
surface_matches_ratio 3,2143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,5277
first_serve_won_diff -3,7514
second_serve_won_diff 2,1229
bp_saved_diff -2,1533
bp_converted_diff 5,7252
aces_per_match_diff -4,6444
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,0500
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 51,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 207,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2167
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5390
serve_consistency_p2 8,9376
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67,0922
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1421
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0690
elite_surface_amplifier 63,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,9306
utr_p2 0,9176
utr_advantage 0,6938
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21156
API ID 15141988
Gamdom ID 479632
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21156,
    "api_id": 15141988,
    "gamdom_id": 479632,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6937,
    "prob_p2": 0.3063,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6937,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9305882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.9176470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 24.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 4345,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1533333333333218,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6937874487543325,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.1780538303479458,
    "rank_advantage": 69,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.111111111111114,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.72523809523809,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.527746031746034,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2166666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.644444444444445,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.751428571428562,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.538998341691247,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.937631795733736,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 67.09224752956776,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.1228571428571428,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.2142857142857144,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.049999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 63.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 207,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1421111111111112,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06899999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.411564625850339,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}