Alexander Zverev vs Hubert Hurkacz
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 10:30
05 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 69,4%
Hubert …: 30,6%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,65
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Hubert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 4,60 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,44 | 3,26 | 69,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -6,8%
Hubert …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 69,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 24,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1781 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4345,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,4116 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,2143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,5277 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7514 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1229 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1533 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,7252 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,6444 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 51,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 207,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5390 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9376 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 67,0922 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1421 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0690 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 63,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9176 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6938 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21156
API ID
15141988
Gamdom ID
479632
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21156,
"api_id": 15141988,
"gamdom_id": 479632,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6937,
"prob_p2": 0.3063,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6937,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.74,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.65,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9305882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.9176470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 24.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 4345,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1533333333333218,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.6937874487543325,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.1780538303479458,
"rank_advantage": 69,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.111111111111114,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.72523809523809,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.527746031746034,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2166666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.644444444444445,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.751428571428562,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.538998341691247,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.937631795733736,
"surface_rank_synergy": 67.09224752956776,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1228571428571428,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.2142857142857144,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.049999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 63.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 207,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1421111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06899999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.411564625850339,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}