Billy Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 14:10
05 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Billy …: 23,9%
Stefanos …: 76,1%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 14,35 vs 15,45
(-1,39)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Billy … | Stefanos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,29 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 4,30 | 1,22 | 23,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,19 | 1,31 | 23,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Billy …: -1,7%
Stefanos …: +1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Billy Harris
Ranking
#121
UTR Rating
14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#219
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
30/54 = 55,6%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#35
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/23 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2813 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2685 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -898,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -98,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,9662 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,3384 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3478 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,3730 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6417 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,4669 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7387 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2885 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7560 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -41,9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 64,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2295 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4583 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5602 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1945 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2256 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1476 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0268 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9059 | |
| utr_advantage | -9,2636 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21158
API ID
15286747
Gamdom ID
558229
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21158,
"api_id": 15286747,
"gamdom_id": 558229,
"player1": "Billy Harris",
"player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.2857142857142856
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.22
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.32,
"p2": 1.21
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2388,
"prob_p2": 0.7612,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7612,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 121,
"utr_singles": 14.35,
"utr_ranking": 219,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.35,
"ranking": 219,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.45,
"ranking": 30,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9058823529411764,
"utr_diff": -1.3899999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 0.28125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -898,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7387278582930819,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -40.00000000000001,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.52173913043478,
"utr_advantage": -9.263578807064304,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -98,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2685113254635072,
"rank_advantage": -92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4583333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.9661835748792242,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.28848631239935685,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.3730032206119205,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2295081967213115,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7560386473429945,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.6417069243156135,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.560225262251514,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.194535294366723,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2256148072111146,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.4669082125603907,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.347826086956522,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -41.920000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14755555555555555,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.026782608695652188,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.3384418901660325,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}