Billy Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Billy …: 23,9% Stefanos …: 76,1%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 14,35 vs 15,45 (-1,39) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Billy … Stefanos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,29 26,7%
Gamdom 4,30 1,22 23,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,19 1,31 23,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Billy …: -1,7% Stefanos …: +1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Billy Harris
Ranking #121
UTR Rating 14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #219
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 30/54 = 55,6%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #35
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #30
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/23 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -92,0000
rank_ratio 0,2813
log_rank_ratio -1,2685
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -898,0000
best_rank_diff -98,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,9662
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,3384
surface_matches_ratio 2,3478
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 56,5217
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,1724
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 54,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,3730
first_serve_won_diff -5,6417
second_serve_won_diff -3,4669
bp_saved_diff -1,7387
bp_converted_diff 0,2885
aces_per_match_diff -1,7560
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -41,9200
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 64,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4706
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2295
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4583
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6154
serve_consistency_p1 11,5602
serve_consistency_p2 9,1945
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,2256
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1476
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0268
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3900
utr_p1 0,7424
utr_p2 0,9059
utr_advantage -9,2636
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21158
API ID 15286747
Gamdom ID 558229
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21158,
    "api_id": 15286747,
    "gamdom_id": 558229,
    "player1": "Billy Harris",
    "player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.2857142857142856
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.32,
      "p2": 1.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2388,
    "prob_p2": 0.7612,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7612,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 121,
      "utr_singles": 14.35,
      "utr_ranking": 219,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": 15.45,
      "utr_ranking": 30,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.35,
      "ranking": 219,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.45,
      "ranking": 30,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7423529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.9058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -1.3899999999999988,
    "rank_ratio": 0.28125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -898,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.7387278582930819,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -40.00000000000001,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.52173913043478,
    "utr_advantage": -9.263578807064304,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -98,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.2685113254635072,
    "rank_advantage": -92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4583333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.9661835748792242,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.28848631239935685,
    "p1_surface_matches": 54,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.3730032206119205,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2295081967213115,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7560386473429945,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.6417069243156135,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.560225262251514,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.194535294366723,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.2256148072111146,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.4669082125603907,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.347826086956522,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -41.920000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14755555555555555,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.026782608695652188,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.3384418901660325,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}