Emma Raducanu vs Maria Sakkari
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 67,0% Maria …: 33,0%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,59 vs 12,17 (+0,40) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emma … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,2%
Gamdom 1,91 1,90 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,49 3,03 67,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Emma …: +1,4% Maria …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking #60
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 23,0000
rank_ratio 1,7931
log_rank_ratio 0,5839
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 447,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,8095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,2926
surface_matches_ratio 0,8571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,5897
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,5998
first_serve_won_diff 3,0229
second_serve_won_diff -1,1657
bp_saved_diff 8,0114
bp_converted_diff 10,1143
aces_per_match_diff 0,7190
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -53,8310
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 83,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7172
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6810
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 9,6376
serve_consistency_p2 9,5833
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,0640
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0437
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0484
elite_surface_amplifier 13,8095
UTR
utr_diff 0,4000
utr_p1 0,5400
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage 3,2284
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21160
API ID 15141898
Gamdom ID 479616
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21160,
    "api_id": 15141898,
    "gamdom_id": 479616,
    "player1": "Emma Raducanu",
    "player2": "Maria Sakkari",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T13:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.91,
      "p2": 1.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6701,
    "prob_p2": 0.3299,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6701,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 53,
      "utr_singles": 12.17,
      "utr_ranking": 60,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.17,
      "ranking": 60,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.54,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 1.793103448275862,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 447,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.011428571428567,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -60.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 3.2284100080710276,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5839478885949534,
    "rank_advantage": 23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.80952380952381,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.114285714285714,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.599809523809533,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6810344827586207,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7190476190476192,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.0228571428571556,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.637637369640577,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.583291875230664,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.064042271073166,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.58974358974359,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1657142857142802,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8571428571428571,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -53.83100000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 13.80952380952381,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04366666666666663,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04842857142857143,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.29260935143288,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}