Emma Raducanu vs Maria Sakkari
United Cup | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 17:05
05 Ene 2026, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 67,0%
Maria …: 33,0%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 12,59 vs 12,17
(+0,40)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,91 | 1,90 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,49 | 3,03 | 67,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emma …: +1,4%
Maria …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7931 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5839 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 447,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,8095 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,2926 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,5897 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,5998 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0229 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1657 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,0114 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,1143 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7190 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -53,8310 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 83,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7172 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,6376 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,5833 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,0640 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0437 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0484 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13,8095 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,2284 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21160
API ID
15141898
Gamdom ID
479616
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21160,
"api_id": 15141898,
"gamdom_id": 479616,
"player1": "Emma Raducanu",
"player2": "Maria Sakkari",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T13:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.91,
"p2": 1.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6701,
"prob_p2": 0.3299,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6701,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.59,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.17,
"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 1.793103448275862,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 447,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.011428571428567,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -60.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 3.2284100080710276,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5839478885949534,
"rank_advantage": 23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.80952380952381,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.114285714285714,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.599809523809533,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6810344827586207,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7190476190476192,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0228571428571556,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.637637369640577,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.583291875230664,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.064042271073166,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.58974358974359,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1657142857142802,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8571428571428571,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -53.83100000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.80952380952381,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04366666666666663,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04842857142857143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.29260935143288,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}