Norbert Marosik vs Adam Jurajda
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet |
07 Ene 2026, 16:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Norbert Marosik
Norbert …: 56,3% Adam …: 43,7%
¿Por qué Norbert Marosik?
UTR 12,23 vs 12,00 (+0,23) — Niveles similares
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Adam …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Norbert … Adam … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,00 1,29 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,78 2,29 56,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Norbert Marosik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #1767
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 88% (8p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Adam Jurajda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2061
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025 44W - 33L (57%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Adam Jurajda
Record 2025 29W - 15L (66%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Adam Jurajda en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,0000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 22,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3636
serve_consistency_p2 11,3239
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2300
utr_p1 0,4976
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 1,8985
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21180
API ID 15308014
Gamdom ID 568865
Torneo UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21180,
    "api_id": 15308014,
    "gamdom_id": 568865,
    "player1": "Norbert Marosik",
    "player2": "Adam Jurajda",
    "tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T12:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.35,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5631,
    "prob_p2": 0.4369,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5631,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.23,
      "utr_ranking": 1767,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.5,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 87.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2061,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.74,
          "opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:00.831531+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.23,
      "ranking": 1767,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2061,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8984729673957936,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.363612822412414,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.323904267530839,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}