Norbert Marosik vs David Knesl
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet |
06 Ene 2026, 17:00
06 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Norbert Marosik
Norbert …: 55,7%
David …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Norbert Marosik?
UTR 12,23 vs 12,00
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
David …
W40-L24
62% WR
vs UTR 11,2
L3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Norbert … | David … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 2,75 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,79 | 2,26 | 55,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Norbert Marosik
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1767
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
86% (7p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
David Knesl
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3059
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025
44W - 33L (57%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
David Knesl
Record 2025
40W - 24L (63%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
11,2
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Norbert Marosik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 15,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4411 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8985 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21181
API ID
15308028
Gamdom ID
568863
Torneo
UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21181,
"api_id": 15308028,
"gamdom_id": 568863,
"player1": "Norbert Marosik",
"player2": "David Knesl",
"tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-06T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 2.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5573,
"prob_p2": 0.4427,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5573,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.23,
"utr_ranking": 1767,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 44,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.5,
"opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3059,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 40,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.24,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Heorhii Shylov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Ond\u0159ej Hujo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:58.944480+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.23,
"ranking": 1767,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3059,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 1.8984729673957936,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.363612822412414,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.441114752536988,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}