Sebastian Chodura vs Radovan Michalik
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet |
08 Ene 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Radovan Michalik
Sebastian …: 29,0% Radovan …: 71,1%
¿Por qué Radovan Michalik?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,61 (-1,67) — Ligera ventaja
Sebastian …
W20-L28
42% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L2
Radovan …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Radovan … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,00 1,29 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,45 1,41 29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Chodura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3169
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Radovan Michalik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #1456
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Chodura
Record 2025 20W - 28L (42%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Radovan Michalik
Record 2025 41W - 30L (58%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Radovan Michalik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -34,6500
first_serve_won_diff -46,2000
second_serve_won_diff -38,5000
bp_saved_diff -58,3000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 36,6429
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 70,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2912
serve_consistency_p2 11,9231
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,6700
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5494
utr_advantage -14,1107
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21194
API ID 15308012
Gamdom ID 568839
Torneo UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21194,
    "api_id": 15308012,
    "gamdom_id": 568839,
    "player1": "Sebastian Chodura",
    "player2": "Radovan Michalik",
    "tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2895,
    "prob_p2": 0.7105,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7105,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3169,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 20,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 41.66666666666667,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.46,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.22,
          "opponent_name": "Jakub Jedrzejczak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Moser"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Brad Sy-A-Foek"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Adrian Vorhemus"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.362282+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.61,
      "utr_ranking": 1456,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.2,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Chizhuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Ignacio Gallego"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Erik Gahnstr\u00f6m"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jayden Saidizand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.1,
          "opponent_name": "Maximilian Oezcelik"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:15.470102+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3169,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.61,
      "ranking": 1456,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5494117647058824,
    "utr_diff": -1.67,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -58.3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -14.110688635403463,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -34.65,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -46.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.2911830937759206,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.923076923076923,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -38.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 36.64285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 70,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}