Karol Filar vs Roman Garkavenko
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet |
08 Ene 2026, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karol Filar
Karol …: 70,3% Roman …: 29,8%
¿Por qué Karol Filar?
UTR 13,44 vs 11,00 (+2,42) — Ventaja clara
Karol …
W73-L22
77% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W3
Roman …
W15-L26
37% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karol … Roman … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,00 8,58 100,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,42 3,36 70,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karol Filar
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #738
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Roman Garkavenko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4654
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 29% (7p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karol Filar
Record 2025 73W - 22L (77%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Roman Garkavenko
Record 2025 15W - 26L (37%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Karol Filar en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 9,6053
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,4200
utr_p1 0,6376
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 19,8198
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21202
API ID 15308008
Gamdom ID 568842
Torneo UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21202,
    "api_id": 15308008,
    "gamdom_id": 568842,
    "player1": "Karol Filar",
    "player2": "Roman Garkavenko",
    "tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.0,
      "p2": 8.58
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 66.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7025,
    "prob_p2": 0.2975,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7025,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.44,
      "utr_ranking": 738,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 73,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 76.84210526315789,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.66,
          "opponent_name": "Arjun Mehrotra"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.5,
          "opponent_name": "Aldin Setkic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.41,
          "opponent_name": "Dominik Palan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.63,
          "opponent_name": "Braden Shick"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.79,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Thurner"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:06.512889+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4654,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 36.58536585365854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.1,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Luka Vuglar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.51,
          "opponent_name": "Tymofii Milovanov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Janos FEKETE"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Enrique Bogo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Peetu Pohjola"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:22.840502+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.44,
      "ranking": 738,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4654,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6376470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 2.42,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 19.819819819819816,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.605349562737254,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}