Thomas Drayton vs Petr Michnev
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet |
05 Ene 2026, 11:30
05 Ene 2026, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Petr Michnev
Thomas …: 16,5%
Petr …: 83,5%
¿Por qué Petr Michnev?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,28
(-2,21)
— Ventaja clara
Thomas …
W28-L43
39% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L2
Petr …
W36-L9
80% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thomas … | Petr … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 8,80 | 11,4% | |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,07 | 1,20 | 16,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thomas Drayton
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2011
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Petr Michnev
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#854
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (6p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Thomas Drayton
Record 2025
28W - 43L (39%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Petr Michnev
Record 2025
36W - 9L (80%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Petr Michnev ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 12,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -100,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -75,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 15,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8972 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -2,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6129 | |
| utr_advantage | -18,2569 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21215
API ID
15308029
Gamdom ID
568828
Torneo
UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21215,
"api_id": 15308029,
"gamdom_id": 568828,
"player1": "Thomas Drayton",
"player2": "Petr Michnev",
"tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 8.8,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 13.0,
"p2": 1.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1647,
"prob_p2": 0.8353,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8353,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 2011,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 43,
"utr_v4_wr": 39.436619718309856,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.98,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Gregor Webster"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.91,
"opponent_name": "James Story"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Joshua Craze"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Miles Groom"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.1,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Maggs"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:48.497741+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.28,
"utr_ranking": 854,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 36,
"utr_v4_losses": 9,
"utr_v4_wr": 80.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.18,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.34,
"opponent_name": "Alec Beckley"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.74,
"opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Knesl"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Ond\u0159ej Hujo"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:12.279175+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 2011,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.28,
"ranking": 854,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.6129411764705883,
"utr_diff": -2.210000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -99.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -18.256918628665847,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.8972239789060446,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -75.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}