Jerome Estephan vs Stephen Tomkins
UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01 | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 01:55
08 Ene 2026, 01:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stephen Tomkins
Jerome …: 49,6%
Stephen …: 50,4%
¿Por qué Stephen Tomkins?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,00
— Niveles similares
Jerome …
W14-L18
44% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W2
Stephen …
W16-L13
55% WR
vs UTR 9,6
W1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jerome … | Stephen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 3,35 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,02 | 1,98 | 49,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jerome …: -19,1%
Stephen …: +19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Estephan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5245
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Stephen Tomkins
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#8573
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jerome Estephan
Record 2025
14W - 18L (44%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Stephen Tomkins
Record 2025
16W - 13L (55%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,6
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Jerome Estephan ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 11,6 vs 9,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21225
API ID
15306680
Gamdom ID
571182
Torneo
UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21225,
"api_id": 15306680,
"gamdom_id": 571182,
"player1": "Jerome Estephan",
"player2": "Stephen Tomkins",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-07T21:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 3.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4961,
"prob_p2": 0.5039,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5039,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5245,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 14,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 43.75,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luke McMillan"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Marcus Nield"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Guillaume Giraud"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Omar Farahat"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:53.286122+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 8573,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 16,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.172413793103445,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.62,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Ryan Lee"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ryoma Cogan"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Christopher Kosei Ono"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Genki Fukushima"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.009649+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5245,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 8573,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}