Magdalena Hedrzak vs Ema Harajda
UTR PTT Krakow Women 01 | Carpet |
08 Ene 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magdalena Hedrzak
Magdalena …: 69,5% Ema …: 30,5%
¿Por qué Magdalena Hedrzak?
UTR 9,00 vs 8,00 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Magdalena …
W30-L25
55% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L3
Ema …
W14-L29
33% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magdalena … Ema … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,15 4,20 87,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,28 69,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magdalena Hedrzak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2075
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Ema Harajda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1453
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Magdalena Hedrzak
Record 2025 30W - 25L (55%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Ema Harajda
Record 2025 14W - 29L (33%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Magdalena Hedrzak ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,2 vs 9,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 11,7647
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21261
API ID 15307869
Gamdom ID 568748
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Women 01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21261,
    "api_id": 15307869,
    "gamdom_id": 568748,
    "player1": "Magdalena Hedrzak",
    "player2": "Ema Harajda",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Women 01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T09:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.17,
      "p2": 4.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6953,
    "prob_p2": 0.3047,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6953,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2075,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.54545454545454,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.21,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.38,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Svatikova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.63,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Kulhava"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.47,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Danilova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.282730+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1453,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 32.55813953488372,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.97,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Satina Tamulynas"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "EYLUL ASYA YILMAZ"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Karyna Fiadosik"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.95,
          "opponent_name": "Annemarie Lazar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.18,
          "opponent_name": "Anna Kartseva"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:13.164040+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2075,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 1453,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.76470588235294,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}