Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
04 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Frances Tiafoe
Aleksandar …: 32,6% Frances …: 67,4%
¿Por qué Frances Tiafoe?
UTR 14,77 vs 15,18 (-0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandar … Frances … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,65 1,49 37,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,07 1,48 32,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Aleksandar …: -1,8% Frances …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 19/43 = 44,2%
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking #34
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -54,0000
rank_ratio 0,3571
log_rank_ratio -1,0296
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -792,0000
best_rank_diff -38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,6601
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,0757
surface_matches_ratio 1,6538
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,1860
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,6809
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 43,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1163
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,2952
first_serve_won_diff -2,0789
second_serve_won_diff -0,7213
bp_saved_diff 0,1596
bp_converted_diff -0,6166
aces_per_match_diff -0,0197
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 33,0550
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 92,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1014
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,4898
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2609
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 5,1745
serve_consistency_p2 8,7670
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,9462
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0041
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0155
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5600
utr_p1 0,7988
utr_p2 0,8647
utr_advantage -3,7160
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21297
API ID 15309590
Gamdom ID 569124
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21297,
    "api_id": 15309590,
    "gamdom_id": 569124,
    "player1": "Aleksandar Vukic",
    "player2": "Frances Tiafoe",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-04T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3256,
    "prob_p2": 0.6744,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6744,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 78,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 34,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 112,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.5600000000000005,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -792,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.15957066189622537,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.18604651162791,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -3.7159920371599235,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0296194171811581,
    "rank_advantage": -54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2608695652173913,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.66010733452594,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.6166368515205747,
    "p1_surface_matches": 43,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.2951878354203927,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1014492753623188,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.489795918367347,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.01967799642218182,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0788908765652963,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.11627906976744186,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.17447934367519,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.767040075736459,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.946234083682029,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.680851063829785,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7212880143112699,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6538461538461537,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 33.05499999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 92,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0041395348837208745,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.015538461538461612,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.075650118203315,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}