Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
04 Ene 2026, 11:00
04 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Frances Tiafoe
Aleksandar …: 32,6%
Frances …: 67,4%
¿Por qué Frances Tiafoe?
UTR 14,77 vs 15,18
(-0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandar … | Frances … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,65 | 1,49 | 37,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,07 | 1,48 | 32,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aleksandar …: -1,8%
Frances …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#112
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
19/43 = 44,2%
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0296 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -792,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,6601 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,0757 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,1860 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,6809 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1163 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,2952 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0789 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7213 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,1596 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,6166 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0197 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,0550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 59,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1014 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4898 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2609 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1745 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7670 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,9462 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0041 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0155 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,7160 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21297
API ID
15309590
Gamdom ID
569124
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21297,
"api_id": 15309590,
"gamdom_id": 569124,
"player1": "Aleksandar Vukic",
"player2": "Frances Tiafoe",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-04T07:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3256,
"prob_p2": 0.6744,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6744,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 112,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 34,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 112,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.5600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 0.35714285714285715,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -792,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.15957066189622537,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.18604651162791,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": -3.7159920371599235,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0296194171811581,
"rank_advantage": -54,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2608695652173913,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.66010733452594,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.6166368515205747,
"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.2951878354203927,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1014492753623188,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.489795918367347,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.01967799642218182,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0788908765652963,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.11627906976744186,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.17447934367519,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.767040075736459,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.946234083682029,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.680851063829785,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7212880143112699,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6538461538461537,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.05499999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 92,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0041395348837208745,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.015538461538461612,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.075650118203315,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}