Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Brandon …: 36,1% Alejandro …: 63,9%
¿Por qué Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,62 (-0,35) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Brandon … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,40 1,58 41,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,77 1,56 36,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Brandon …: -3,7% Alejandro …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 29/46 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21,0000
rank_ratio 0,4000
log_rank_ratio -0,9163
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -1205,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,1973
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,5116
surface_matches_ratio 0,8478
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 63,0435
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,4884
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0000
p1_surface_matches 39,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,3065
first_serve_won_diff 6,7759
second_serve_won_diff -2,5866
bp_saved_diff 3,6221
bp_converted_diff -7,0635
aces_per_match_diff 4,8473
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -44,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -40,5210
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 65,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9762
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9104
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6538
serve_consistency_p1 7,0953
serve_consistency_p2 10,2435
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,4274
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0595
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1094
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3500
utr_p1 0,8835
utr_p2 0,9247
utr_advantage -2,2314
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21298
API ID 15309588
Gamdom ID 569122
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21298,
    "api_id": 15309588,
    "gamdom_id": 569122,
    "player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.4,
      "p2": 1.58
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3608,
    "prob_p2": 0.6392,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6392,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 15.62,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.9247058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -1205,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6220735785953053,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -44.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
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    "utr_advantage": -2.231431303793431,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.916290731874155,
    "rank_advantage": -21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.197324414715723,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.063545150501675,
    "p1_surface_matches": 39,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.30651059085843,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9761904761904762,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9104477611940298,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.8472686733556305,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.77591973244148,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.095293134415436,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.243540101822543,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.427423119243905,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.48837209302325,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.0,
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    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8478260869565217,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -40.521000000000015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.059461538461538455,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10943478260869566,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.511627906976749,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}