Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Cameron …: 46,0% Ugo …: 54,0%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,38 vs 15,43 (+0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cameron … Ugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 2,18 1,69 45,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,18 1,85 46,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Cameron …: -1,4% Ugo …: +1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 10,0000
rank_ratio 1,3704
log_rank_ratio 0,3151
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 193,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,7176
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,2301
surface_matches_ratio 1,2759
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,3514
surface_wr_p2 62,0690
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2195
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,6061
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0270
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,9722
first_serve_won_diff -2,0618
second_serve_won_diff -1,4757
bp_saved_diff 1,4254
bp_converted_diff -4,7520
aces_per_match_diff -2,7493
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 56,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 70,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0068
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7136
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 6,5515
serve_consistency_p2 10,3505
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,3769
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0035
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1307
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,9024
utr_p2 0,8871
utr_advantage 0,8331
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21299
API ID 15309589
Gamdom ID 569120
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21299,
    "api_id": 15309589,
    "gamdom_id": 569120,
    "player1": "Cameron Norrie",
    "player2": "Ugo Humbert",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.18,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4596,
    "prob_p2": 0.5404,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5404,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.43,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.43,
      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8870588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3703703703703705,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 193,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.425442684063384,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.06896551724138,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8330663248958716,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.31508104663989545,
    "rank_advantage": 10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.717614165890033,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.752003727865791,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.972199440820134,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.7493010251630947,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0617893755824923,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.551492714202759,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.350530029452816,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.3769170888712017,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.60606060606061,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.4756756756756886,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2758620689655173,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 56,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 70,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0035135135135134776,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13068965517241382,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.230105937423016,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}