Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Cameron …: 46,0%
Ugo …: 54,0%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,38 vs 15,43
(+0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cameron … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,18 | 1,69 | 45,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,18 | 1,85 | 46,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cameron …: -1,4%
Ugo …: +1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3704 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3151 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 193,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,7176 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,2301 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2759 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,6061 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0270 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,9722 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0618 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,4757 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,4254 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,7520 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7493 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 56,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0068 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7136 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5515 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,3505 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,3769 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0035 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1307 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8331 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21299
API ID
15309589
Gamdom ID
569120
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21299,
"api_id": 15309589,
"gamdom_id": 569120,
"player1": "Cameron Norrie",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.18,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4596,
"prob_p2": 0.5404,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5404,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8870588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 1.3703703703703705,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 193,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.425442684063384,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.06896551724138,
"utr_advantage": 0.8330663248958716,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.31508104663989545,
"rank_advantage": 10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.717614165890033,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.752003727865791,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.972199440820134,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.7493010251630947,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0617893755824923,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.551492714202759,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.350530029452816,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.3769170888712017,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4756756756756886,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2758620689655173,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.450000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 56,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 70,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0035135135135134776,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13068965517241382,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.230105937423016,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}