Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 07:00
06 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommy Paul
Giovanni …: 12,6%
Tommy …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Tommy Paul?
UTR 15,16 vs 15,63
(-0,58)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Giovanni … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,47 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,94 | 1,14 | 12,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Giovanni …: -19,2%
Tommy …: +19,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/23 = 69,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3448 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0647 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1135,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,7081 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,4792 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2174 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,5652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,7374 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4033 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1047 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,8658 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -17,0561 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4022 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43,7760 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 61,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 125,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0412 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1093 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4737 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4760 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0059 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28,4364 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0334 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1577 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9271 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,7203 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21302
API ID
15309594
Gamdom ID
569123
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21302,
"api_id": 15309594,
"gamdom_id": 569123,
"player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.47
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.66,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.126,
"prob_p2": 0.874,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.874,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.56521739130434,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.63,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9270588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.3448275862068966,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -1135,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.865838509316774,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.56521739130434,
"utr_advantage": -3.7203335471456067,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -21,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0647107369924282,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.70807453416149,
"bp_converted_diff": -17.05605590062112,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.737375776397514,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1093247588424437,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4021739130434785,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.403260869565216,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.47601013377148,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.005903926425258,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.436373720915785,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.104658385093167,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2173913043478262,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.776,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 125,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03342857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15765217391304343,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.479166666666657,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}