Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paul
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommy Paul
Giovanni …: 12,6% Tommy …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Tommy Paul?
UTR 15,16 vs 15,63 (-0,58) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Giovanni … Tommy … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 2,70 1,47 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 7,94 1,14 12,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Giovanni …: -19,2% Tommy …: +19,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Tommy Paul
Ranking #20
UTR Rating 15,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/23 = 69,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,3448
log_rank_ratio -1,0647
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1135,0000
best_rank_diff -21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -26,7081
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,4792
surface_matches_ratio 1,2174
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 69,5652
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,7374
first_serve_won_diff 3,4033
second_serve_won_diff 4,1047
bp_saved_diff 6,8658
bp_converted_diff -17,0561
aces_per_match_diff 3,4022
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,7760
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 61,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 125,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0412
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1093
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4737
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4167
serve_consistency_p1 8,4760
serve_consistency_p2 5,0059
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 28,4364
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0334
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1577
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5800
utr_p1 0,8588
utr_p2 0,9271
utr_advantage -3,7203
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21302
API ID 15309594
Gamdom ID 569123
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21302,
    "api_id": 15309594,
    "gamdom_id": 569123,
    "player1": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "player2": "Tommy Paul",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.66,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.126,
    "prob_p2": 0.874,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.874,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 20,
      "utr_singles": 15.63,
      "utr_ranking": 15,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.56521739130434,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.63,
      "ranking": 15,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8588235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.9270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3448275862068966,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -1135,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.865838509316774,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 69.56521739130434,
    "utr_advantage": -3.7203335471456067,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0647107369924282,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47368421052631576,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -26.70807453416149,
    "bp_converted_diff": -17.05605590062112,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.737375776397514,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.041237113402062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1093247588424437,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4021739130434785,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.403260869565216,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.47601013377148,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.005903926425258,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 28.436373720915785,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.104658385093167,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2173913043478262,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.776,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 125,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03342857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15765217391304343,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.479166666666657,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}