Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machac
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 07:40
05 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 60,4%
Tomas …: 39,6%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 15,26
(+0,39)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jiri … | Tomas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,49 | 2,65 | 67,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,52 | 60,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jiri …: -3,3%
Tomas …: +3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/36 = 63,9%
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5754 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 870,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,2682 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,8422 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2414 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,9069 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1636 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,8678 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7739 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0111 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3927 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1149 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0582 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,0075 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7425 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,0311 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1249 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1002 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,2682 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8847 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4817 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21303
API ID
15309593
Gamdom ID
569118
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21303,
"api_id": 15309593,
"gamdom_id": 569118,
"player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
"player2": "Tomas Machac",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6039,
"prob_p2": 0.3961,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6039,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 19,
"utr_singles": 15.6,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 15.26,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 870,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7739463601532606,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": 2.4817053770283204,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5753641449035618,
"rank_advantage": 14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.26819923371648,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.011111111111113,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.906896551724131,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0582010582010581,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.39272030651340994,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.163601532567043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.007484245847904,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.742481460134409,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.031132947288882,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.867816091954026,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2413793103448276,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5350000000000037,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.26819923371648,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12488888888888883,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1002068965517241,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.842171717171715,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}