Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machac
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 60,4% Tomas …: 39,6%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 15,26 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jiri … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
Gamdom 1,49 2,65 67,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,66 2,52 60,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Jiri …: -3,3% Tomas …: +3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking #19
UTR Rating 15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #18
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 23/36 = 63,9%
Tomas Machac
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 14,0000
rank_ratio 1,7778
log_rank_ratio 0,5754
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 870,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,2682
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,8422
surface_matches_ratio 1,2414
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,8889
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2778
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,9069
first_serve_won_diff 3,1636
second_serve_won_diff -4,8678
bp_saved_diff -1,7739
bp_converted_diff -7,0111
aces_per_match_diff 0,3927
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,5350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 67,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1149
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0582
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6429
serve_consistency_p1 13,0075
serve_consistency_p2 6,7425
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,0311
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1249
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1002
elite_surface_amplifier 5,2682
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,9306
utr_p2 0,8847
utr_advantage 2,4817
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21303
API ID 15309593
Gamdom ID 569118
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21303,
    "api_id": 15309593,
    "gamdom_id": 569118,
    "player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
    "player2": "Tomas Machac",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6039,
    "prob_p2": 0.3961,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6039,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 19,
      "utr_singles": 15.6,
      "utr_ranking": 18,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.6,
      "ranking": 18,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.26,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9305882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 870,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.7739463601532606,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
    "utr_advantage": 2.4817053770283204,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5753641449035618,
    "rank_advantage": 14,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.26819923371648,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.011111111111113,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.906896551724131,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0582010582010581,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.39272030651340994,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.163601532567043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.007484245847904,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.742481460134409,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.031132947288882,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.867816091954026,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2413793103448276,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5350000000000037,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12488888888888883,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1002068965517241,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.842171717171715,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}