Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Nick …: 19,1% Aleksandar …: 80,9%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 14,88 vs 14,80 (+0,49) — Niveles similares
Nick …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 15,4
L1
Aleksandar …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nick … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,36 1,60 42,4%
IA Fair Odds 5,24 1,24 19,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Nick …: -22,2% Aleksandar …: +22,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nick Kyrgios
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 14,88 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 1/5 = 20,0%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nick Kyrgios
Record 2025 1W - 3L (25%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 15,4
Últimos 5:
L W L L
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -440,0000
rank_ratio 0,1200
log_rank_ratio -2,1203
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -877,0000
best_rank_diff -440,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -32,1739
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17,3111
surface_matches_ratio 0,1087
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 20,0000
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 26,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,6000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,3522
first_serve_won_diff -4,6217
second_serve_won_diff -2,7174
bp_saved_diff 5,6304
bp_converted_diff -13,8826
aces_per_match_diff 2,2391
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,5110
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 288,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4500
serve_consistency_p1 7,0149
serve_consistency_p2 2,8129
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 68,2172
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1400
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4183
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,8388
utr_p2 0,7812
utr_advantage 3,2919
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21304
API ID 15309592
Gamdom ID 569127
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21304,
    "api_id": 15309592,
    "gamdom_id": 569127,
    "player1": "Nick Kyrgios",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.36,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1909,
    "prob_p2": 0.8091,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8091,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 14.88,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 15.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.85,
          "opponent_name": "Karen KHACHANOV"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.86,
          "opponent_name": "Mackenzie McDonald"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.19,
          "opponent_name": "Botic VAN DE ZANDSCHULP"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 15.64,
          "opponent_name": "Jacob Fearnley"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:58.135210+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.88,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.12,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -877,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.6304347826087024,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 20.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": 3.2919046019482714,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -440,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.120263536200091,
    "rank_advantage": -440,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -32.17391304347826,
    "bp_converted_diff": -13.882608695652173,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.3521739130434725,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.2391304347826084,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.62173913043479,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.014934668420288,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.8128814809794873,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 68.21717464295945,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 26.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.717391304347828,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.10869565217391304,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.511000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 288,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13999999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.41826086956521735,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.311111111111114,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}