Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 08:30
06 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Nick …: 19,1%
Aleksandar …: 80,9%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 14,88 vs 14,80
(+0,49)
— Niveles similares
Nick …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 15,4
L1
Aleksandar …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nick … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,36 | 1,60 | 42,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,24 | 1,24 | 19,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nick …: -22,2%
Aleksandar …: +22,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nick Kyrgios
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
14,88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
1/5 = 20,0%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nick Kyrgios
Record 2025
1W - 3L (25%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
15,4
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -440,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1203 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -877,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -440,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -32,1739 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,3111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1087 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,3522 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7174 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6304 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,8826 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2391 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,5110 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 288,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0149 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,8129 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 68,2172 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4183 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,2919 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21304
API ID
15309592
Gamdom ID
569127
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21304,
"api_id": 15309592,
"gamdom_id": 569127,
"player1": "Nick Kyrgios",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.36,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1909,
"prob_p2": 0.8091,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8091,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 14.88,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 15.38,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.85,
"opponent_name": "Karen KHACHANOV"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.86,
"opponent_name": "Mackenzie McDonald"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.19,
"opponent_name": "Botic VAN DE ZANDSCHULP"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.64,
"opponent_name": "Jacob Fearnley"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:58.135210+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.88,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.12,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -877,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.6304347826087024,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 20.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": 3.2919046019482714,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -440,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.120263536200091,
"rank_advantage": -440,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -32.17391304347826,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.882608695652173,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3521739130434725,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.2391304347826084,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.62173913043479,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.014934668420288,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.8128814809794873,
"surface_rank_synergy": 68.21717464295945,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 26.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.717391304347828,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.10869565217391304,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.511000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 288,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13999999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.41826086956521735,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.311111111111114,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}