Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Korda
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin …: 58,8% Sebastian …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 15,59 vs 15,47 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentin … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 2,55 1,52 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,42 58,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Valentin …: +11,4% Sebastian …: -11,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 21/32 = 65,6%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 17,0000
rank_ratio 1,5484
log_rank_ratio 0,4372
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 393,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,9583
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,0065
surface_matches_ratio 1,0667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,6250
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,8889
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3125
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,6543
first_serve_won_diff -1,4321
second_serve_won_diff 1,4835
bp_saved_diff 0,2692
bp_converted_diff 1,6977
aces_per_match_diff -1,1917
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,0800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 64,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 57,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9722
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 11,3102
serve_consistency_p2 11,4262
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,9167
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1392
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0837
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,9318
utr_p2 0,8953
utr_advantage 1,9664
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21306
API ID 15309587
Gamdom ID 569119
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21306,
    "api_id": 15309587,
    "gamdom_id": 569119,
    "player1": "Valentin Vacherot",
    "player2": "Sebastian Korda",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.56,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5875,
    "prob_p2": 0.4125,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5875,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 15.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.625,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 53,
      "utr_singles": 15.47,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8952941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5483870967741935,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 393,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.26916666666666345,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.625,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9663812242308942,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.43721380642274466,
    "rank_advantage": 17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.958333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6977083333333383,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.654312500000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9722222222222222,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1916666666666664,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.4320833333333383,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.310214775368276,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.42619068370325,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.916707015870422,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4835416666666603,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.0800000000000125,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13924999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08366666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.006535947712415,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}