Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Korda
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin …: 58,8%
Sebastian …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 15,59 vs 15,47
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valentin … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,52 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,70 | 2,42 | 58,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Valentin …: +11,4%
Sebastian …: -11,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5484 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4372 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 393,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,9583 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,0065 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3125 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,6543 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,4321 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4835 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2692 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6977 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1917 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,0800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 64,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 57,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9722 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,3102 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4262 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,9167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1392 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0837 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8953 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9664 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21306
API ID
15309587
Gamdom ID
569119
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21306,
"api_id": 15309587,
"gamdom_id": 569119,
"player1": "Valentin Vacherot",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.56,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5875,
"prob_p2": 0.4125,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5875,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.5483870967741935,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 393,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.26916666666666345,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.625,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 1.9663812242308942,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.43721380642274466,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.958333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6977083333333383,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.654312500000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9722222222222222,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1916666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.4320833333333383,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.310214775368276,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.42619068370325,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.916707015870422,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4835416666666603,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.0800000000000125,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13924999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08366666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.006535947712415,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}