Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Chad Kissell
UTR PTT Waco Men 06 | Hard | Semifinals
03 Ene 2026, 21:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Joao …: 54,5% Chad …: 45,5%
¿Por qué Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin?
UTR 12,97 vs 13,00 — Niveles similares
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Chad …
Sin datos
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joao … Chad … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,75 1,34 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,83 2,20 54,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Joao …: +20,8% Chad …: -20,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #1127
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Chad Kissell
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 General
UTR Ranking #1291
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025 42W - 25L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Chad Kissell
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 59,1837
momentum_diff 38,8163
weighted_momentum_diff 29,1122
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,5983
serve_consistency_p2 7,6016
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5776
utr_p2 0,5776
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21311
API ID 15309474
Gamdom ID 569092
Torneo UTR PTT Waco Men 06
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21311,
    "api_id": 15309474,
    "gamdom_id": 569092,
    "player1": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
    "player2": "Chad Kissell",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Waco Men 06",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-03T17:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.34
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.79,
      "p2": 1.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5454,
    "prob_p2": 0.4546,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5454,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.97,
      "utr_ranking": 1127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.73,
          "opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.56,
          "opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1291,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.97,
      "ranking": 1127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1291,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5776470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 38.81632653061223,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.598263373214004,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.601637016919902,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 29.112244897959187,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}