Daniil Kakhniuk vs Mason Vaughan
UTR PTT Waco Men 06 | Hard | Semifinals
03 Ene 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Kakhniuk
Daniil …: 64,3% Mason …: 35,7%
¿Por qué Daniil Kakhniuk?
UTR 12,69 vs 12,00 (+1,40) — Ligera ventaja
Daniil …
W50-L39
56% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W1
Mason …
W60-L27
69% WR
vs UTR 10,9
W4
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Mason … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,80 64,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Kakhniuk
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #1526
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Mason Vaughan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #253
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Daniil Kakhniuk
Record 2025 50W - 39L (56%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Mason Vaughan
Record 2025 60W - 27L (69%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 10,9
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Mason Vaughan en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 71,4286
momentum_diff -33,4286
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0714
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3734
serve_consistency_p2 15,3975
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,4000
utr_p1 0,5176
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 11,9658
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21314
API ID 15309466
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Waco Men 06
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21314,
    "api_id": 15309466,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniil Kakhniuk",
    "player2": "Mason Vaughan",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Waco Men 06",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-03T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6427,
    "prob_p2": 0.3573,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6427,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.69,
      "utr_ranking": 1526,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 39,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.17977528089888,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Matei Todoran"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.67,
          "opponent_name": "Luke Hooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Lunev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.02,
          "opponent_name": "Leon Formella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.14,
          "opponent_name": "Yaroslav Demin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.374296+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 253,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 60,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.96551724137932,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.91,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Guilherme Keleti"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gurbaaz Narang"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Gama"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Bote"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Artem Dmytrenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:40.383171+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.69,
      "ranking": 1526,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 253,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.4000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -33.42857142857143,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.96581196581197,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.37338355219474,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.397513633766545,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.07142857142857,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}