Alexandre Muller vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miomir Kecmanovic
Alexandre …: 36,0%
Miomir …: 64,0%
¿Por qué Miomir Kecmanovic?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,13
(-0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandre … | Miomir … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,29 | 1,63 | 43,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,78 | 1,56 | 36,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexandre …: -7,2%
Miomir …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1860 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1706 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 190,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,4848 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,5026 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7576 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8276 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,6486 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1200 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,6379 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0527 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4164 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,1105 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,7320 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6933 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,2200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 3,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5988 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5823 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3871 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3571 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3821 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1808 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7652 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0680 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0072 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -4,4848 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4580 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21331
API ID
15309884
Gamdom ID
569308
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21331,
"api_id": 15309884,
"gamdom_id": 569308,
"player1": "Alexandre Muller",
"player2": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3599,
"prob_p2": 0.6401,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6401,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.13,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 1.186046511627907,
"h2h_matches": 3,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 190,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.110545454545438,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
"utr_advantage": -0.457965325482501,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.17062551703076345,
"rank_advantage": 8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35714285714285715,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.484848484848484,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.731999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.637939393939391,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3870967741935485,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.693333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.052727272727267,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5987861855569067,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.12,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.382134695168213,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.180842164587725,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7652295915319087,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4163636363636414,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7575757575757576,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2199999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -4.484848484848484,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.068,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.007151515151515131,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.502640571606089,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}