Alexandre Muller vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miomir Kecmanovic
Alexandre …: 36,0% Miomir …: 64,0%
¿Por qué Miomir Kecmanovic?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,13 (-0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandre … Miomir … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,29 1,63 43,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,78 1,56 36,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexandre …: -7,2% Miomir …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 8,0000
rank_ratio 1,1860
log_rank_ratio 0,1706
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 190,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,4848
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5026
surface_matches_ratio 0,7576
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,4848
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,8276
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,6486
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1200
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,6379
first_serve_won_diff -5,0527
second_serve_won_diff -2,4164
bp_saved_diff -5,1105
bp_converted_diff -4,7320
aces_per_match_diff -1,6933
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,2200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 58,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 3,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,6667
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5988
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5823
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,3871
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4545
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3571
serve_consistency_p1 8,3821
serve_consistency_p2 7,1808
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7652
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0680
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0072
elite_surface_amplifier -4,4848
UTR
utr_diff -0,0700
utr_p1 0,8529
utr_p2 0,8612
utr_advantage -0,4580
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21331
API ID 15309884
Gamdom ID 569308
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21331,
    "api_id": 15309884,
    "gamdom_id": 569308,
    "player1": "Alexandre Muller",
    "player2": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3599,
    "prob_p2": 0.6401,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6401,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 1.186046511627907,
    "h2h_matches": 3,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 190,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.110545454545438,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
    "utr_advantage": -0.457965325482501,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.17062551703076345,
    "rank_advantage": 8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35714285714285715,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.484848484848484,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.731999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.637939393939391,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3870967741935485,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.693333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.052727272727267,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5987861855569067,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.12,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.382134695168213,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.180842164587725,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7652295915319087,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.4163636363636414,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7575757575757576,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2199999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -4.484848484848484,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.068,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.007151515151515131,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.502640571606089,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}