Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navone
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:05
06 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Coleman …: 81,1%
Mariano …: 18,9%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coleman … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,78 | 2,05 | 56,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,23 | 5,29 | 81,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coleman …: +20,8%
Mariano …: -20,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coleman Wong
Ranking
#132
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/38 = 57,9%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/17 = 29,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -75,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -354,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -99,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,4830 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,6508 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2353 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 29,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,6203 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,2526 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,1316 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,1211 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,2263 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,2167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,8070 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 36,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1746 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7238 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,6653 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8140 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -19,7429 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1539 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2809 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21332
API ID
15309882
Gamdom ID
569306
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21332,
"api_id": 15309882,
"gamdom_id": 569306,
"player1": "Coleman Wong",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 2.05
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 2.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8109,
"prob_p2": 0.1891,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8109,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 132,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -354,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.121052631578948,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2": 29.411764705882355,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -99,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": -75,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.482972136222912,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.226315789473688,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.620278637770888,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1746031746031746,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7238095238095238,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.216718266253869,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.2526315789473585,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.665290692486493,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.814029609109303,
"surface_rank_synergy": -19.742891830190395,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.131578947368425,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.235294117647059,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8070000000000022,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 50,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1539473684210526,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2808823529411764,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.650793650793652,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}