Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navone
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Coleman …: 81,1% Mariano …: 18,9%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coleman … Mariano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,78 2,05 56,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,29 81,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Coleman …: +20,8% Mariano …: -20,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coleman Wong
Ranking #132
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Mariano Navone
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/17 = 29,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -75,0000
rank_ratio 0,5000
log_rank_ratio -0,6931
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -354,0000
best_rank_diff -99,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,4830
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,6508
surface_matches_ratio 2,2353
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,8947
surface_wr_p2 29,4118
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1579
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,6203
first_serve_won_diff 6,2526
second_serve_won_diff -3,1316
bp_saved_diff 6,1211
bp_converted_diff 6,2263
aces_per_match_diff 5,2167
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,8070
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 36,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 50,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1746
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7238
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,6653
serve_consistency_p2 4,8140
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -19,7429
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1539
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2809
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8459
utr_p2 0,8459
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21332
API ID 15309882
Gamdom ID 569306
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21332,
    "api_id": 15309882,
    "gamdom_id": 569306,
    "player1": "Coleman Wong",
    "player2": "Mariano Navone",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 2.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 2.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8109,
    "prob_p2": 0.1891,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8109,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 14.85,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.85,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -354,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.121052631578948,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
    "surface_wr_p2": 29.411764705882355,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.482972136222912,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.226315789473688,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.620278637770888,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1746031746031746,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7238095238095238,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.216718266253869,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.2526315789473585,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.665290692486493,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.814029609109303,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -19.742891830190395,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.131578947368425,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.235294117647059,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8070000000000022,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 50,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1539473684210526,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2808823529411764,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.650793650793652,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}