Damir Džumhur vs Nuno Borges
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Damir …: 45,6% Nuno …: 54,4%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Damir … Nuno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,20 1,36 31,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,19 1,84 45,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Damir …: +15,8% Nuno …: -15,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 9/21 = 42,9%
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -19,0000
rank_ratio 0,7121
log_rank_ratio -0,3395
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -283,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,1897
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 51,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2821
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,5502
first_serve_won_diff -10,8686
second_serve_won_diff 6,2486
bp_saved_diff -2,1029
bp_converted_diff 15,3571
aces_per_match_diff -3,4952
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,1000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 58,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4949
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7193
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 11,2927
serve_consistency_p2 7,3882
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,9101
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0524
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0047
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8612
utr_p2 0,8612
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21333
API ID 15309881
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21333,
    "api_id": 15309881,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "player2": "Nuno Borges",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.73,
      "p2": 1.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4559,
    "prob_p2": 0.5441,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5441,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7121212121212122,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -283,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1028571428571325,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3395071403163669,
    "rank_advantage": -19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.357142857142854,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.550190476190487,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.494949494949495,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.4952380952380953,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.868571428571435,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.292719308377178,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.388154117273821,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.9100612027117156,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.248571428571424,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.100000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.052428571428571435,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004714285714285782,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.1897435897435855,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}