Damir Džumhur vs Nuno Borges
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
05 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Damir …: 45,6%
Nuno …: 54,4%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Damir … | Nuno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,20 | 1,36 | 31,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,19 | 1,84 | 45,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Damir …: +15,8%
Nuno …: -15,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7121 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3395 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -283,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,1897 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2821 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,5502 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,8686 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,2486 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1029 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3571 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4952 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4949 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,2927 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3882 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,9101 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0524 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0047 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21333
API ID
15309881
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21333,
"api_id": 15309881,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"player2": "Nuno Borges",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.2,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.73,
"p2": 1.44
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4559,
"prob_p2": 0.5441,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5441,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7121212121212122,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -283,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1028571428571325,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3395071403163669,
"rank_advantage": -19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.357142857142854,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.550190476190487,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.494949494949495,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4952380952380953,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.868571428571435,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.292719308377178,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.388154117273821,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.9100612027117156,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.248571428571424,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.100000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.052428571428571435,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004714285714285782,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.1897435897435855,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}