Juncheng Shang vs Francisco Comesaña
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Comesaña
Juncheng …: 34,1% Francisco …: 65,9%
¿Por qué Francisco Comesaña?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juncheng … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,50 2,60 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,93 1,52 34,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Juncheng …: -34,1% Francisco …: +34,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juncheng Shang
Ranking #318
UTR Rating 15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #45
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -186,0000
rank_ratio 0,2648
log_rank_ratio -1,3287
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -614,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,3889
surface_matches_ratio 0,6364
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,6100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,9582
first_serve_won_diff -0,0818
second_serve_won_diff 0,8818
bp_saved_diff -1,0818
bp_converted_diff -6,2273
aces_per_match_diff -4,0909
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,6270
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 89,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4375
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1513
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 8,8454
serve_consistency_p2 6,2202
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,4907
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1146
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1860
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8624
utr_p2 0,8624
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21335
API ID 15309885
Gamdom ID 569311
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21335,
    "api_id": 15309885,
    "gamdom_id": 569311,
    "player1": "Juncheng Shang",
    "player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3408,
    "prob_p2": 0.6592,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6592,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 318,
      "utr_singles": 15.33,
      "utr_ranking": 45,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 45,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2648221343873518,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -614,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.0818181818181785,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3286968693365542,
    "rank_advantage": -186,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.227272727272727,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.958181818181821,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4375,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.090909090909092,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6100000000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.08181818181817846,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.84538744786454,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.2202487788436205,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.490691923832534,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8818181818181827,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.6270000000000095,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 89,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1145714285714286,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18600000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.3888888888888906,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}