Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Valentin Royer
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tomas …: 58,2%
Valentin …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
UTR 15,29 vs 15,09
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,95 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,72 | 2,39 | 58,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomas …: +5,6%
Valentin …: -5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#52
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9661 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0345 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -29,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,1538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,3737 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7405 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3846 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,8015 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4815 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6877 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8462 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 59,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0407 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9435 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0519 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2122 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0405 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0980 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7164 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21337
API ID
15309887
Gamdom ID
569307
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21337,
"api_id": 15309887,
"gamdom_id": 569307,
"player1": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
"player2": "Valentin Royer",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.85,
"p2": 1.93
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5824,
"prob_p2": 0.4176,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5824,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 52,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 52,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 0.9661016949152542,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -29,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.481538461538463,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.7163790296320379,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.03448617607116932,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.153846153846153,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.687692307692302,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7404615384615312,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0406504065040652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8461538461538458,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3846153846153726,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.943461293048592,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.051921267992475,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.21222262197642658,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.801538461538463,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.65,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.35000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04046153846153844,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09799999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.373737373737374,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}