Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Valentin Royer
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tomas …: 58,2% Valentin …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
UTR 15,29 vs 15,09 (+0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,86 1,95 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,72 2,39 58,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomas …: +5,6% Valentin …: -5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #52
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Valentin Royer
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,9661
log_rank_ratio -0,0345
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -29,0000
best_rank_diff 29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,1538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,3737
surface_matches_ratio 0,6500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7405
first_serve_won_diff -1,3846
second_serve_won_diff -5,8015
bp_saved_diff 0,4815
bp_converted_diff -3,6877
aces_per_match_diff 0,8462
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,3500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0407
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 4,9435
serve_consistency_p2 6,0519
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2122
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0405
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0980
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,8718
utr_p2 0,8588
utr_advantage 0,7164
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21337
API ID 15309887
Gamdom ID 569307
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21337,
    "api_id": 15309887,
    "gamdom_id": 569307,
    "player1": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
    "player2": "Valentin Royer",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 1.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5824,
    "prob_p2": 0.4176,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5824,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 52,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 52,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.871764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9661016949152542,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -29,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.481538461538463,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7163790296320379,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.03448617607116932,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.153846153846153,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.687692307692302,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7404615384615312,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0406504065040652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8461538461538458,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3846153846153726,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.943461293048592,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.051921267992475,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.21222262197642658,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.801538461538463,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.65,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.35000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04046153846153844,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09799999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.373737373737374,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}