Yibing Wu vs Fábián Marozsán
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 14:00
05 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 65,5%
Fábián …: 34,6%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yibing … | Fábián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,70 | 1,91 | 58,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,89 | 65,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yibing …: +15,4%
Fábián …: -15,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -127,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2983 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2095 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -678,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,5806 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4545 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6742 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3613 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9516 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,4290 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6129 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 93,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1456 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5314 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8750 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -27,3116 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3689 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1109 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21338
API ID
15309888
Gamdom ID
569310
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21338,
"api_id": 15309888,
"gamdom_id": 569310,
"player1": "Yibing Wu",
"player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 1.91
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6545,
"prob_p2": 0.3455,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6545,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.13,
"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7905882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.7905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.2983425414364641,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -678,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.951612903225808,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2095129847015513,
"rank_advantage": -127,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.58064516129032,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.429032258064513,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.454516129032264,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.612903225806451,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6741935483870947,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.53139335973886,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.875008542521713,
"surface_rank_synergy": -27.3115835255189,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3612903225806434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.1099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 93,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.36893548387096764,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1108709677419355,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.000000000000007,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}