Yibing Wu vs Fábián Marozsán
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Yibing …: 65,5% Fábián …: 34,6%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yibing … Fábián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,70 1,91 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,89 65,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Yibing …: +15,4% Fábián …: -15,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -127,0000
rank_ratio 0,2983
log_rank_ratio -1,2095
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -678,0000
best_rank_diff -18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,5806
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,0000
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,1935
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4839
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4545
first_serve_won_diff -2,6742
second_serve_won_diff 0,3613
bp_saved_diff -2,9516
bp_converted_diff 8,4290
aces_per_match_diff -1,6129
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,1100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 93,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1456
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3529
serve_consistency_p1 11,5314
serve_consistency_p2 3,8750
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -27,3116
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3689
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1109
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7906
utr_p2 0,7906
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21338
API ID 15309888
Gamdom ID 569310
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21338,
    "api_id": 15309888,
    "gamdom_id": 569310,
    "player1": "Yibing Wu",
    "player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 1.91
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6545,
    "prob_p2": 0.3455,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6545,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.7905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2983425414364641,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -678,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.951612903225808,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.2095129847015513,
    "rank_advantage": -127,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.58064516129032,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.429032258064513,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.454516129032264,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.612903225806451,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6741935483870947,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.53139335973886,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.875008542521713,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -27.3115835255189,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3612903225806434,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.1099999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 93,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.36893548387096764,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1108709677419355,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.000000000000007,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}