Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 57,5% Anna …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,99 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aliaksandra … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 1,61 2,40 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Aliaksandra …: +10,2% Anna …: -10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Anna Blinkova
Ranking #64
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/33 = 51,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -52,0000
rank_ratio 0,5439
log_rank_ratio -0,6091
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -333,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,1281
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7799
surface_matches_ratio 0,9394
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 51,5152
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,3514
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2255
first_serve_won_diff 3,2461
second_serve_won_diff -1,1166
bp_saved_diff 1,1965
bp_converted_diff -8,2302
aces_per_match_diff 0,9687
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,0740
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 62,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5745
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8431
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 8,9639
serve_consistency_p2 6,6936
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,9052
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0359
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0368
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4741
utr_advantage 0,8278
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21339
API ID 15309866
Gamdom ID 569339
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21339,
    "api_id": 15309866,
    "gamdom_id": 569339,
    "player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "player2": "Anna Blinkova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T05:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5753,
    "prob_p2": 0.4247,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5753,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "rank_ratio": 0.543859649122807,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -333,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1964809384164283,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6090640633494039,
    "rank_advantage": -52,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.128054740957964,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.230205278592372,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.2255229716519978,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8431372549019608,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9687194525904204,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.2461388074291264,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.963862044821598,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.693582960540706,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.9051857309072244,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.35135135135135,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1166177908113468,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9393939393939394,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.035870967741935544,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03684848484848491,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.779922779922778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}