Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 09:55
05 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 57,5%
Anna …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,99
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliaksandra … | Anna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,40 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aliaksandra …: +10,2%
Anna …: -10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Anna Blinkova
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/33 = 51,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -52,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5439 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6091 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -333,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,1281 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,7799 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9394 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,3514 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2255 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,2461 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1166 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1965 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,2302 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9687 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,0740 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5745 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8431 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9639 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6936 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,9052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0359 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0368 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8278 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21339
API ID
15309866
Gamdom ID
569339
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21339,
"api_id": 15309866,
"gamdom_id": 569339,
"player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"player2": "Anna Blinkova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T05:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.37
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5753,
"prob_p2": 0.4247,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5753,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 64,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
"rank_ratio": 0.543859649122807,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -333,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1964809384164283,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
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"utr_advantage": 0.8278145695364355,
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"best_rank_diff": 5,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6090640633494039,
"rank_advantage": -52,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.128054740957964,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.230205278592372,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.2255229716519978,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8431372549019608,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9687194525904204,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.2461388074291264,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.963862044821598,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.693582960540706,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.9051857309072244,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.35135135135135,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1166177908113468,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9393939393939394,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.073999999999984,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.035870967741935544,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03684848484848491,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.779922779922778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}