Anna Bondar vs Cristina Bucsa
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Anna …: 46,9% Cristina …: 53,1%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,35 (-0,42) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Cristina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,55 1,54 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,13 1,88 46,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +10,6% Cristina …: -10,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 28/48 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -23,0000
rank_ratio 0,6892
log_rank_ratio -0,3722
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -227,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,6335
surface_matches_ratio 0,6250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,6923
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 48,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,5697
first_serve_won_diff 3,9854
second_serve_won_diff -0,9100
bp_saved_diff -6,8242
bp_converted_diff -1,5071
aces_per_match_diff 3,4250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,9900
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 21,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9748
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0548
serve_consistency_p2 12,1319
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,3428
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0103
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0603
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4200
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,5129
utr_advantage -3,4568
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21340
API ID 15309870
Gamdom ID 569338
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21340,
    "api_id": 15309870,
    "gamdom_id": 569338,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Cristina Bucsa",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.54
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.54,
      "p2": 1.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4687,
    "prob_p2": 0.5313,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5313,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 12.35,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.35,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5129411764705881,
    "utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6891891891891891,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -227,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.824166666666663,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -3.45679012345679,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.372239460479844,
    "rank_advantage": -23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.666666666666671,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.507083333333341,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 48,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.569708333333331,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9747899159663865,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4250000000000007,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9854166666666657,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.054849350964137,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.13188729323885,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.342793705598182,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9099999999999966,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.989999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.010333333333333361,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06033333333333335,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.633484162895925,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}