Karolína Plíšková vs Hailey Baptiste
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hailey Baptiste
Karolína …: 26,5% Hailey …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Hailey Baptiste?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karolína … Hailey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,33 29,4%
IA Fair Odds 3,78 1,36 26,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Karolína …: -1,6% Hailey …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking #-
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -439,0000
rank_ratio 0,1220
log_rank_ratio -2,1037
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1023,0000
best_rank_diff -453,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -46,1538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9444
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 46,1538
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,5833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -58,6538
first_serve_won_diff -68,5000
second_serve_won_diff -53,6538
bp_saved_diff -60,2154
bp_converted_diff -44,6308
aces_per_match_diff -4,1538
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,2222
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 14,2222
weighted_momentum_diff 3,2867
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 94,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 77,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6339
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 4,3155
serve_consistency_p2 2,7788
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 97,0954
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0610
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4775
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4953
utr_p2 0,4953
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21344
API ID 15309860
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21344,
    "api_id": 15309860,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.33
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.7353,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7353,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
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      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "points_diff": -1023,
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    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.1333333333333333,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.153846153846154,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -68.49999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.3154590760009395,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.7787641623797468,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 97.09542619610218,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.944444444444446,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}