Karolína Plíšková vs Hailey Baptiste
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
05 Ene 2026, 08:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hailey Baptiste
Karolína …: 26,5%
Hailey …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Hailey Baptiste?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolína … | Hailey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,33 | 29,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,78 | 1,36 | 26,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karolína …: -1,6%
Hailey …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -439,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1220 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1037 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1023,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -453,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -58,6538 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -68,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,6538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -60,2154 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -44,6308 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,1538 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,2222 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,2867 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 94,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6339 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3155 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,7788 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 97,0954 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0610 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4775 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4953 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21344
API ID
15309860
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21344,
"api_id": 15309860,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
"player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.33
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2647,
"prob_p2": 0.7353,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7353,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": null,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.122,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -1023,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -60.215384615384615,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.1333333333333333,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 14.222222222222225,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -453,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.1037342342488805,
"rank_advantage": -439,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -46.15384615384615,
"bp_converted_diff": -44.630769230769225,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -58.653846153846146,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.153846153846154,
"combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -68.49999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.3154590760009395,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.7787641623797468,
"surface_rank_synergy": 97.09542619610218,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.653846153846146,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.286666666666669,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 94,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.061000000000000054,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.47746153846153844,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.944444444444446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}