Kimberly Birrell vs Rebecca Sramkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kimberly Birrell
Kimberly …: 63,8% Rebecca …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Kimberly Birrell?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kimberly … Rebecca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 2,19 1,71 45,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,76 63,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Kimberly …: +13,8% Rebecca …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking #73
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #101
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -26,0000
rank_ratio 0,7347
log_rank_ratio -0,3083
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -112,0000
best_rank_diff -27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,9091
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,2568
surface_matches_ratio 0,9167
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,5000
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0933
first_serve_won_diff 2,8152
second_serve_won_diff 3,7848
bp_saved_diff -0,5576
bp_converted_diff 3,7788
aces_per_match_diff -1,3182
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,0700
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4038
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2727
serve_consistency_p1 11,5027
serve_consistency_p2 12,6752
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,9048
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1018
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1093
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,4694
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21345
API ID 15309859
Gamdom ID 569340
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21345,
    "api_id": 15309859,
    "gamdom_id": 569340,
    "player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "player2": "Rebecca Sramkova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.71
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.18,
      "p2": 1.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6379,
    "prob_p2": 0.3621,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6379,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 73,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 101,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 101,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -112,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.557575757575762,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.909090909090907,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.778787878787867,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.09333333333333371,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40384615384615385,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3181818181818183,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.8151515151515127,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.502688745088781,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.675249062932568,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.904794358140035,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.7848484848484887,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9166666666666666,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.256756756756758,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}