Kimberly Birrell vs Rebecca Sramkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kimberly Birrell
Kimberly …: 63,8%
Rebecca …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Kimberly Birrell?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Rebecca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,19 | 1,71 | 45,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,57 | 2,76 | 63,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: +13,8%
Rebecca …: -13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7347 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3083 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -112,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,9091 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,2568 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9167 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0933 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,8152 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,7848 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5576 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7788 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3182 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,0700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2727 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5027 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6752 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,9048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1018 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1093 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21345
API ID
15309859
Gamdom ID
569340
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21345,
"api_id": 15309859,
"gamdom_id": 569340,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.71
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.18,
"p2": 1.67
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6379,
"prob_p2": 0.3621,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6379,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7346938775510204,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -112,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.557575757575762,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.30830135965451655,
"rank_advantage": -26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.909090909090907,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.778787878787867,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.09333333333333371,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40384615384615385,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3181818181818183,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.8151515151515127,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.502688745088781,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.675249062932568,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.904794358140035,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.7848484848484887,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9166666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.070000000000022,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10175757575757582,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10933333333333328,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.256756756756758,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}