Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frech
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marketa Vondrousova
Marketa …: 76,9% Magdalena …: 23,1%
¿Por qué Marketa Vondrousova?
UTR 12,61 vs 12,16 (+0,61) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marketa … Magdalena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
Gamdom 1,24 4,30 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,33 76,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Marketa …: +2,4% Magdalena …: -2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marketa Vondrousova
Ranking #34
UTR Rating 12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/18 = 55,6%
Magdalena Frech
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 1,7353
log_rank_ratio 0,5512
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 394,0000
best_rank_diff 16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,7729
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,9641
surface_matches_ratio 0,7826
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,2722
first_serve_won_diff 9,5000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9000
bp_saved_diff 7,6000
bp_converted_diff 2,0000
aces_per_match_diff 3,3261
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,1760
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 75,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 86,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7049
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 8,7385
serve_consistency_p2 4,9273
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,4496
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0306
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1272
elite_surface_amplifier 20,7729
UTR
utr_diff 0,6100
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,4765
utr_advantage 4,9373
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21346
API ID 15309861
Gamdom ID 569344
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21346,
    "api_id": 15309861,
    "gamdom_id": 569344,
    "player1": "Marketa Vondrousova",
    "player2": "Magdalena Frech",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T09:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.14
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7692,
    "prob_p2": 0.2308,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7692,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 34,
      "utr_singles": 12.61,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 394,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.600000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5511769192895581,
    "rank_advantage": 25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.772946859903385,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.272173913043474,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7049180327868853,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3260869565217392,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.738491187516924,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.927255122930481,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.449568854807248,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.782608695652174,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 20.772946859903385,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 86,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030555555555555558,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12717391304347825,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.964085297418626,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}