Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Li
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Olivia …: 18,9% Ann …: 81,1%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 11,70 vs 12,31 (-0,67) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Olivia … Ann … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,42 1,59 41,3%
IA Fair Odds 5,28 1,23 18,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Olivia …: -15,4% Ann …: +15,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking #172
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #185
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/12 = 8,3%
Ann Li
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #40
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -168,0000
rank_ratio 0,1845
log_rank_ratio -1,6903
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -984,0000
best_rank_diff -50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -49,2424
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -27,7449
surface_matches_ratio 0,3636
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 8,3333
surface_wr_p2 57,5758
surface_wr_p1_stable 18,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,7568
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,8333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,3103
first_serve_won_diff -4,7000
second_serve_won_diff -8,1000
bp_saved_diff -2,6000
bp_converted_diff -5,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,2652
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,3000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3636
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8624
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6869
serve_consistency_p2 11,0773
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 83,2340
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2487
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0922
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6700
utr_p1 0,4282
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage -5,5950
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21347
API ID 15309862
Gamdom ID 569335
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21347,
    "api_id": 15309862,
    "gamdom_id": 569335,
    "player1": "Olivia Gadecki",
    "player2": "Ann Li",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T02:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1894,
    "prob_p2": 0.8106,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8106,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 172,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 40,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 40,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.6699999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.18446601941747573,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -984,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 8.333333333333332,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
    "utr_advantage": -5.594989561586638,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6902900090631954,
    "rank_advantage": -168,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -49.24242424242425,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.310303030303039,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2651515151515151,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.8333333333333334,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.686854449758099,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.077295432998035,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 83.233977719021,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 18.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.36363636363636365,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.300000000000011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24866666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09224242424242424,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -27.74493243243243,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}