Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Li
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 06:45
05 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Olivia …: 18,9%
Ann …: 81,1%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 11,70 vs 12,31
(-0,67)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Olivia … | Ann … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,42 | 1,59 | 41,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,28 | 1,23 | 18,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Olivia …: -15,4%
Ann …: +15,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking
#172
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/12 = 8,3%
Ann Li
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -168,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1845 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6903 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -984,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -49,2424 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -27,7449 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3636 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 18,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,8333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,3103 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2652 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3636 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6869 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0773 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 83,2340 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2487 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0922 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,5950 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21347
API ID
15309862
Gamdom ID
569335
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21347,
"api_id": 15309862,
"gamdom_id": 569335,
"player1": "Olivia Gadecki",
"player2": "Ann Li",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T02:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.42,
"p2": 1.59
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1894,
"prob_p2": 0.8106,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8106,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 172,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.6699999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.18446601941747573,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": -984,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 8.333333333333332,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": -5.594989561586638,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6902900090631954,
"rank_advantage": -168,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -49.24242424242425,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.310303030303039,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2651515151515151,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.8333333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.686854449758099,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.077295432998035,
"surface_rank_synergy": 83.233977719021,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 18.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.100000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.36363636363636365,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.300000000000011,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24866666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09224242424242424,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -27.74493243243243,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}