Shuai Zhang vs Ashlyn Krueger
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 60,6% Ashlyn …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 12,02 (+0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shuai … Ashlyn … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 1,70 2,21 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,65 2,54 60,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Shuai …: +13,3% Ashlyn …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -37,0000
rank_ratio 0,5432
log_rank_ratio -0,6103
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -386,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,1497
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,3860
surface_matches_ratio 0,6471
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 52,9412
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,6923
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,6521
first_serve_won_diff -2,1000
second_serve_won_diff -9,1727
bp_saved_diff -10,2909
bp_converted_diff 9,0091
aces_per_match_diff -2,9251
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 38,9400
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 77,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6610
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,1318
serve_consistency_p2 3,7311
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,7529
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1279
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0076
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0700
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage 0,5788
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21348
API ID 15309868
Gamdom ID 569341
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21348,
    "api_id": 15309868,
    "gamdom_id": 569341,
    "player1": "Shuai Zhang",
    "player2": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.21
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6064,
    "prob_p2": 0.3936,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6064,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5432098765432098,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -386,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.29090909090909,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 57.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.149732620320854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.009090909090908,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.652085561497323,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6610169491525424,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.9251336898395723,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.1000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.131810445228971,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.7310565610623025,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.752932881643338,
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    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12790909090909097,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.007588235294117673,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.385964912280699,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}