Shuai Zhang vs Ashlyn Krueger
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 60,6%
Ashlyn …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 12,02
(+0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shuai … | Ashlyn … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,70 | 2,21 | 58,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,65 | 2,54 | 60,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Shuai …: +13,3%
Ashlyn …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5432 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6103 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -386,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,1497 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,3860 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6471 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,6521 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,1727 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,2909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9251 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 38,9400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6610 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1318 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7311 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,7529 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1279 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0076 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5788 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21348
API ID
15309868
Gamdom ID
569341
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21348,
"api_id": 15309868,
"gamdom_id": 569341,
"player1": "Shuai Zhang",
"player2": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.21
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6064,
"prob_p2": 0.3936,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6064,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 81,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 97,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 0.5432098765432098,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -386,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.29090909090909,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 57.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.94117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 0.578751550227369,
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"best_rank_diff": 7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6102595207541777,
"rank_advantage": -37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.149732620320854,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.009090909090908,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.652085561497323,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6610169491525424,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9251336898395723,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.1000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.131810445228971,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7310565610623025,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.752932881643338,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.172727272727272,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6470588235294118,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 38.940000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12790909090909097,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.007588235294117673,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.385964912280699,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}