Tereza Valentová vs Anna Kalinskaya
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tereza Valentová
Tereza …: 72,4% Anna …: 27,6%
¿Por qué Tereza Valentová?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tereza … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,38 3,63 72,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Tereza …: +8,7% Anna …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Valentová
Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 13/16 = 81,3%
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -27,0000
rank_ratio 0,5500
log_rank_ratio -0,5978
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -426,0000
best_rank_diff -44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 26,0776
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,3409
surface_matches_ratio 0,5517
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 81,2500
surface_wr_p2 55,1724
surface_wr_p1_stable 75,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,7933
first_serve_won_diff 5,1000
second_serve_won_diff 1,4000
bp_saved_diff 6,3000
bp_converted_diff 8,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,9116
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,7800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 76,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 64,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7273
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6489
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 10,7271
serve_consistency_p2 17,3205
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,5901
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3395
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0247
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5118
utr_p2 0,5118
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21350
API ID 15309863
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21350,
    "api_id": 15309863,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tereza Valentov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-05T07:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7243,
    "prob_p2": 0.2757,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7243,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 81.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
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      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -426,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 81.25,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 8.299999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.793275862068967,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.648936170212766,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9116379310344827,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.727117000800266,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 17.320479025717287,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.590145924877172,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5517241379310345,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.779999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 76,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.340909090909095,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}