Tereza Valentová vs Anna Kalinskaya
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
05 Ene 2026, 11:35
05 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tereza Valentová
Tereza …: 72,4%
Anna …: 27,6%
¿Por qué Tereza Valentová?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tereza … | Anna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,38 | 3,63 | 72,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tereza …: +8,7%
Anna …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Valentová
Ranking
#54
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/16 = 81,3%
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -426,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,0776 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,3409 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5517 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 81,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7933 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9116 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 76,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 64,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6489 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7271 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17,3205 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -15,5901 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3395 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0247 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21350
API ID
15309863
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21350,
"api_id": 15309863,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tereza Valentov\u00e1",
"player2": "Anna Kalinskaya",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-05T07:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7243,
"prob_p2": 0.2757,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7243,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 54,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 81.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 12.44,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5117647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.55,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -426,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 81.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.172413793103445,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -44,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5978370007556204,
"rank_advantage": -27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.077586206896555,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.299999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.793275862068967,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.648936170212766,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9116379310344827,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.727117000800266,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.320479025717287,
"surface_rank_synergy": -15.590145924877172,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5517241379310345,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.779999999999987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 76,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3395,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02472413793103445,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.340909090909095,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}