Sorana Cirstea vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
04 Ene 2026, 06:35
04 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 77,2%
Anastasia …: 22,8%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,15
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,65 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,39 | 77,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sorana …: +13,6%
Anastasia …: -13,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Ranking
#47
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#69
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/15 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0930 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0889 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 59,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,4146 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0877 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,7333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2683 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,5329 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,3878 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1951 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,6927 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4098 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 64,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 129,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9589 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9005 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8046 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3225 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,0827 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1301 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0960 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4941 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7066 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21352
API ID
15309858
Gamdom ID
569352
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21352,
"api_id": 15309858,
"gamdom_id": 569352,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-04T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7724,
"prob_p2": 0.2276,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7724,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 69,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 25,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 69,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 1.0930232558139534,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 59,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.7066233238520994,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.08894748601649612,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.414634146341463,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.692682926829271,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.5329268292682912,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9004524886877828,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.40975609756097553,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.3878048780487688,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.804615267166822,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.32251074802887,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.08267284331308,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1951219512195053,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.7333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.320000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13014634146341464,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09599999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.087719298245617,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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"feature_importance": {}
}