Sofia Kenin vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
04 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sofia Kenin
Sofia …: 51,9% Elena-Gabriela …: 48,1%
¿Por qué Sofia Kenin?
UTR 11,99 vs 12,16 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sofia … Elena-Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 2,08 1,79 48,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,93 2,08 51,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Sofia …: -4,9% Elena-Gabriela …: +4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Kenin
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 60,0000
rank_ratio 3,1429
log_rank_ratio 1,1451
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 764,0000
best_rank_diff 47,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,1538
surface_matches_ratio 1,4583
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,4286
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2821
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,8294
first_serve_won_diff -2,7167
second_serve_won_diff 5,6917
bp_saved_diff 2,7375
bp_converted_diff -6,5917
aces_per_match_diff -2,0893
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -26,3600
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 67,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,9860
serve_consistency_p2 8,8800
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,6359
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0457
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0600
elite_surface_amplifier 1,4286
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -0,9095
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21353
API ID 15309856
Gamdom ID 569347
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21353,
    "api_id": 15309856,
    "gamdom_id": 569347,
    "player1": "Sofia Kenin",
    "player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-04T03:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.08,
      "p2": 1.79
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.99,
      "p2": 1.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5192,
    "prob_p2": 0.4808,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5192,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
    "rank_ratio": 3.142857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 764,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.7375000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.909466721785872,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 47,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1451323043030026,
    "rank_advantage": 60,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.4285714285714235,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.5916666666666615,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.8294047619047618,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0892857142857144,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.7166666666666615,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.985971019456038,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.879985051190856,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.6359032918614265,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.691666666666656,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4583333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -26.359999999999985,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 1.4285714285714235,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04571428571428582,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06000000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1538461538461497,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}