Sofia Kenin vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
04 Ene 2026, 07:55
04 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sofia Kenin
Sofia …: 51,9%
Elena-Gabriela …: 48,1%
¿Por qué Sofia Kenin?
UTR 11,99 vs 12,16
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sofia … | Elena-Gabriela … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 2,08 | 1,79 | 48,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,93 | 2,08 | 51,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sofia …: -4,9%
Elena-Gabriela …: +4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Kenin
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 60,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1451 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 764,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,4286 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,1538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4583 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2821 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,8294 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,7167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,6917 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,5917 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0893 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,3600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,9860 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8800 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6359 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0457 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0600 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 1,4286 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9095 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21353
API ID
15309856
Gamdom ID
569347
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21353,
"api_id": 15309856,
"gamdom_id": 569347,
"player1": "Sofia Kenin",
"player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-04T03:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.08,
"p2": 1.79
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.99,
"p2": 1.8
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5192,
"prob_p2": 0.4808,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5192,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
"rank_ratio": 3.142857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 764,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.7375000000000043,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.909466721785872,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 47,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1451323043030026,
"rank_advantage": 60,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.4285714285714235,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.5916666666666615,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.8294047619047618,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0892857142857144,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.7166666666666615,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.985971019456038,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.879985051190856,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.6359032918614265,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.691666666666656,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4583333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.359999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 1.4285714285714235,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04571428571428582,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06000000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1538461538461497,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}