Jaqueline Cristian vs Marie Bouzkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
04 Ene 2026, 10:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Jaqueline …: 42,2% Marie …: 57,8%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaqueline … Marie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,80 1,46 35,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,37 1,73 42,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaqueline …: +5,9% Marie …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,0769
log_rank_ratio 0,0741
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 64,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,6176
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,8480
surface_matches_ratio 1,0625
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8824
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,2632
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1176
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,9255
first_serve_won_diff 0,0037
second_serve_won_diff 1,7309
bp_saved_diff 1,0522
bp_converted_diff -8,9750
aces_per_match_diff 0,2022
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,3250
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 72,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 78,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7018
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 5,1646
serve_consistency_p2 11,9469
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,4904
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0558
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1280
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5271
utr_p2 0,5271
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21354
API ID 15309857
Gamdom ID 569350
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21354,
    "api_id": 15309857,
    "gamdom_id": 569350,
    "player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-04T06:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.8,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.79,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4217,
    "prob_p2": 0.5783,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5783,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0769230769230769,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 64,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.0522058823529434,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.07410797215372183,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.617647058823529,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.974999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.9255147058823496,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.20220588235294112,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.0036764705882319504,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.16460930012932,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.946881793260024,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.49042040395845327,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.7308823529411725,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.32500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 72,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 78,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.055823529411764716,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.128,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.847953216374265,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}