Jaqueline Cristian vs Marie Bouzkova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 64
04 Ene 2026, 10:25
04 Ene 2026, 10:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Jaqueline …: 42,2%
Marie …: 57,8%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaqueline … | Marie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,46 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,37 | 1,73 | 42,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaqueline …: +5,9%
Marie …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0741 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 64,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,6176 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,8480 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1176 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,9255 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0037 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7309 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0522 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,9750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2022 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,3250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7018 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1646 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,9469 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4904 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0558 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1280 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21354
API ID
15309857
Gamdom ID
569350
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21354,
"api_id": 15309857,
"gamdom_id": 569350,
"player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-04T06:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.79,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4217,
"prob_p2": 0.5783,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5783,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0769230769230769,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 64,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0522058823529434,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.07410797215372183,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.617647058823529,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.974999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.9255147058823496,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.20220588235294112,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.0036764705882319504,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.16460930012932,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.946881793260024,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.49042040395845327,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7308823529411725,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.32500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 72,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 78,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.055823529411764716,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.128,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.847953216374265,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}