Dane Sweeny vs Christopher O'Connell
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Dane …: 27,7% Christopher …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,87 (-0,78) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dane … Christopher … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,55 1,46 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,61 1,38 27,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Dane …: -9,8% Christopher …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -66,0000
rank_ratio 0,6374
log_rank_ratio -0,4504
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -216,0000
best_rank_diff -128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,2322
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,8067
first_serve_won_diff -0,6000
second_serve_won_diff 3,2000
bp_saved_diff -18,3000
bp_converted_diff -5,2000
aces_per_match_diff -4,7333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4667
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 66,6667
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 46,6667
weighted_momentum_diff 37,2994
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7333
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7208
serve_consistency_p2 5,8975
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0993
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0327
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7800
utr_p1 0,7294
utr_p2 0,8212
utr_advantage -5,3461
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21356
API ID 15309676
Gamdom ID 569176
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21356,
    "api_id": 15309676,
    "gamdom_id": 569176,
    "player1": "Dane Sweeny",
    "player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T01:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.57,
      "p2": 1.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2773,
    "prob_p2": 0.7227,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7227,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.8211764705882354,
    "utr_diff": -0.7800000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6373626373626373,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -216,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -18.300000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 46.66666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -5.346127484578486,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.45041649597043076,
    "rank_advantage": -66,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.806666666666658,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.733333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5999999999999943,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.720802062684099,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.89750860260301,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.1999999999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.299444444444454,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09933333333333327,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03266666666666662,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.23219814241486603,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}