Dane Sweeny vs Christopher O'Connell
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 05:05
04 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Dane …: 27,7%
Christopher …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,87
(-0,78)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dane … | Christopher … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,46 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,61 | 1,38 | 27,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dane …: -9,8%
Christopher …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dane Sweeny
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -66,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6374 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4504 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -216,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -128,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,2322 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,8067 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -18,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,7333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 46,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,2994 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7208 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8975 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0993 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0327 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8212 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,3461 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21356
API ID
15309676
Gamdom ID
569176
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21356,
"api_id": 15309676,
"gamdom_id": 569176,
"player1": "Dane Sweeny",
"player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T01:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.57,
"p2": 1.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2773,
"prob_p2": 0.7227,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7227,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 118,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8211764705882354,
"utr_diff": -0.7800000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 0.6373626373626373,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -216,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -18.300000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 46.66666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -5.346127484578486,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -128,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.45041649597043076,
"rank_advantage": -66,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.806666666666658,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.733333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5999999999999943,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.720802062684099,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.89750860260301,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1999999999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.299444444444454,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09933333333333327,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03266666666666662,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.23219814241486603,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}