Ethan Quinn vs Raphael Collignon
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 06:40
04 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 54,1%
Raphael …: 45,9%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 14,93
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ethan … | Raphael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,84 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,18 | 54,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ethan …: +5,5%
Raphael …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/44 = 59,1%
Raphael Collignon
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
14,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2143 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1942 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 85,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,5341 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,5556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3897 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6108 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,6142 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,9273 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,9148 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9189 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9123 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,6457 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1296 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2686 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0759 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1713 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21357
API ID
15309731
Gamdom ID
569187
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21357,
"api_id": 15309731,
"gamdom_id": 569187,
"player1": "Ethan Quinn",
"player2": "Raphael Collignon",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T02:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.84
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.9,
"p2": 1.86
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5406,
"prob_p2": 0.4594,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5406,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": 14.93,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.93,
"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_diff": 0.26000000000000156,
"rank_ratio": 1.2142857142857142,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 85,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.9272727272727295,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
"utr_advantage": 1.7333333333333436,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1941560144409574,
"rank_advantage": 15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.5340909090909065,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.9147727272727266,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3896590909090918,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9122807017543859,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6107954545454533,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.645728550588922,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.1296178034109214,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2686330489039825,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.6142045454545553,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5989999999999895,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07590909090909093,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.55555555555555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}