Ethan Quinn vs Raphael Collignon
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 54,1% Raphael …: 45,9%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 14,93 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ethan … Raphael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
Gamdom 1,86 1,84 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,18 54,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Ethan …: +5,5% Raphael …: -5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Raphael Collignon
Ranking #72
UTR Rating 14,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 15,0000
rank_ratio 1,2143
log_rank_ratio 0,1942
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 85,0000
best_rank_diff 9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,5341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,5556
surface_matches_ratio 1,3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 65,6250
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8889
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3897
first_serve_won_diff -2,6108
second_serve_won_diff -3,6142
bp_saved_diff 0,9273
bp_converted_diff -2,9148
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,5990
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9189
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9123
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 13,6457
serve_consistency_p2 3,1296
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2686
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0759
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1713
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,8388
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage 1,7333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21357
API ID 15309731
Gamdom ID 569187
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21357,
    "api_id": 15309731,
    "gamdom_id": 569187,
    "player1": "Ethan Quinn",
    "player2": "Raphael Collignon",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T02:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9090909090909092,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.84
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.9,
      "p2": 1.86
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5406,
    "prob_p2": 0.4594,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5406,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": 14.93,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.625,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.93,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_diff": 0.26000000000000156,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2142857142857142,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 85,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.9272727272727295,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7333333333333436,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1941560144409574,
    "rank_advantage": 15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.5340909090909065,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.9147727272727266,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3896590909090918,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9122807017543859,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6107954545454533,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.645728550588922,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.1296178034109214,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2686330489039825,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.6142045454545553,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5989999999999895,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07590909090909093,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17125,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.55555555555555,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}