Sinja Kraus vs Kristina Mladenovic
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 80,0%
Kristina …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,04
(+1,08)
— Ligera ventaja
Sinja …
Sin datos
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sinja … | Kristina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,32 | 3,10 | 75,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 4,99 | 80,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sinja …: +7,6%
Kristina …: -7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#154
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#474
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sinja Kraus
Sin datos UTR v4
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025
1W - 4L (20%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 390,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5455 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5141 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 709,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 395,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,6533 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1905 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,7454 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,6375 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,9750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,5750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,0200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9615 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8690 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,2355 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3900 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2233 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3247 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,5575 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21360
API ID
15309670
Gamdom ID
569168
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21360,
"api_id": 15309670,
"gamdom_id": 569168,
"player1": "Sinja Kraus",
"player2": "Kristina Mladenovic",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-03T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.87
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7997,
"prob_p2": 0.2003,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7997,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 154,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.04,
"utr_ranking": 474,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.22,
"opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.99,
"opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.57,
"opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 154,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.04,
"ranking": 474,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.3247058823529412,
"utr_diff": 1.08,
"rank_ratio": 4.545454545454546,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 709,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.9750000000000085,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 51.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 9.557522123893806,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 395,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5141277326297755,
"rank_advantage": 390,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.575000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.745416666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.42499999999999716,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.961483072483139,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.868986075675828,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.235462210496266,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.637500000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.019999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.66666666666667,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.39,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22333333333333327,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.653333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}