Sinja Kraus vs Kristina Mladenovic
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 80,0% Kristina …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,04 (+1,08) — Ligera ventaja
Sinja …
Sin datos
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sinja … Kristina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,32 3,10 75,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 4,99 80,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Sinja …: +7,6% Kristina …: -7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #154
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #474
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sinja Kraus
Sin datos UTR v4
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025 1W - 4L (20%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 390,0000
rank_ratio 4,5455
log_rank_ratio 1,5141
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 709,0000
best_rank_diff 395,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,6533
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1905
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,7454
first_serve_won_diff -0,4250
second_serve_won_diff 7,6375
bp_saved_diff 3,9750
bp_converted_diff -6,5750
aces_per_match_diff 3,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 34,0200
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,9615
serve_consistency_p2 10,8690
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,2355
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3900
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2233
elite_surface_amplifier 16,6667
UTR
utr_diff 1,0800
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,3247
utr_advantage 9,5575
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21360
API ID 15309670
Gamdom ID 569168
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21360,
    "api_id": 15309670,
    "gamdom_id": 569168,
    "player1": "Sinja Kraus",
    "player2": "Kristina Mladenovic",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-03T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.87
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7997,
    "prob_p2": 0.2003,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7997,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 154,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.04,
      "utr_ranking": 474,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.99,
          "opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.57,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 154,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.04,
      "ranking": 474,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.3247058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 1.08,
    "rank_ratio": 4.545454545454546,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 709,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.9750000000000085,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 51.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 9.557522123893806,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 395,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5141277326297755,
    "rank_advantage": 390,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.575000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.745416666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.42499999999999716,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.961483072483139,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.868986075675828,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.235462210496266,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.637500000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.019999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 16.66666666666667,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.39,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22333333333333327,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.653333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}