Veronika Erjavec vs Sofia Costoulas
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Veronika Erjavec
Veronika …: 73,0%
Sofia …: 27,0%
¿Por qué Veronika Erjavec?
UTR 11,92 vs 11,72
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Veronika … | Sofia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,82 | 1,88 | 54,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,71 | 73,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Veronika …: +19,4%
Sofia …: -19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Veronika Erjavec
Ranking
#102
UTR Rating
11,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#126
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/12 = 50,0%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5524 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4398 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 314,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 51,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,2619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 32,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8817 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,1750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,8333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,8010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6286 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5700 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17,1961 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,9947 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6282 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21361
API ID
15309672
Gamdom ID
569167
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21361,
"api_id": 15309672,
"gamdom_id": 569167,
"player1": "Veronika Erjavec",
"player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-03T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 1.88
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.84,
"p2": 1.91
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7303,
"prob_p2": 0.2697,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7303,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 102,
"utr_singles": 11.92,
"utr_ranking": 126,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.92,
"ranking": 126,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.3099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 1.5523809523809524,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 314,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.6999999999999957,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.6282323018227953,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 51,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.439789850649239,
"rank_advantage": 58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.175000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.881666666666668,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6285714285714286,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.8333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.04999999999999716,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.570017945023853,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.196122631553806,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.994746266230974,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6999999999999815,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.801000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05800000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19199999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.261904761904764,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}