Veronika Erjavec vs Sofia Costoulas
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Veronika Erjavec
Veronika …: 73,0% Sofia …: 27,0%
¿Por qué Veronika Erjavec?
UTR 11,92 vs 11,72 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Veronika … Sofia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,82 1,88 54,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,71 73,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Veronika …: +19,4% Sofia …: -19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Veronika Erjavec
Ranking #102
UTR Rating 11,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #126
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/12 = 50,0%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 58,0000
rank_ratio 1,5524
log_rank_ratio 0,4398
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 314,0000
best_rank_diff 51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,2619
surface_matches_ratio 3,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,1429
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,8817
first_serve_won_diff -0,0500
second_serve_won_diff 2,7000
bp_saved_diff -3,7000
bp_converted_diff 10,1750
aces_per_match_diff -2,8333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,8010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6286
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,5700
serve_consistency_p2 17,1961
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,9947
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1920
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage 2,6282
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21361
API ID 15309672
Gamdom ID 569167
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21361,
    "api_id": 15309672,
    "gamdom_id": 569167,
    "player1": "Veronika Erjavec",
    "player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-03T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 1.88
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 1.91
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7303,
    "prob_p2": 0.2697,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7303,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 102,
      "utr_singles": 11.92,
      "utr_ranking": 126,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.92,
      "ranking": 126,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.3099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5523809523809524,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 314,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.6999999999999957,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.6282323018227953,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.439789850649239,
    "rank_advantage": 58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.175000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.881666666666668,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6285714285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.8333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.04999999999999716,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.570017945023853,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 17.196122631553806,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.994746266230974,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.6999999999999815,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.801000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05800000000000005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.19199999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.261904761904764,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}