Ayano Shimizu vs Tatiana Prozorova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 14:50
04 Ene 2026, 14:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Ayano …: 28,2%
Tatiana …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ayano … | Tatiana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,13 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 5,40 | 1,12 | 18,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,55 | 1,39 | 28,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ayano …: +12,4%
Tatiana …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking
#397
UTR Rating
10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#568
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -226,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4515 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7953 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -238,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,2444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -47,2355 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -61,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -45,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -56,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -56,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2727 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 66,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4019 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1841 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,3787 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2740 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1805 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21362
API ID
15309854
Gamdom ID
569292
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21362,
"api_id": 15309854,
"gamdom_id": 569292,
"player1": "Ayano Shimizu",
"player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T10:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.125
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.4,
"p2": 1.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.48,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2816,
"prob_p2": 0.7184,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7184,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 397,
"utr_singles": 10.89,
"utr_ranking": 568,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.89,
"ranking": 568,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.45145631067961167,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -238,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -56.2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7952766756363251,
"rank_advantage": -226,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -54.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -56.9,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -47.235454545454544,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2727272727272727,
"combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -61.9,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.4018817204301115,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.184118378823531,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.37872776198137,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -45.8,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.520000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 40,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.274,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18054545454545456,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2444444444444451,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}