Ayano Shimizu vs Tatiana Prozorova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 14:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Ayano …: 28,2% Tatiana …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ayano … Tatiana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,00 1,13 16,7%
Gamdom 5,40 1,12 18,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,55 1,39 28,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Ayano …: +12,4% Tatiana …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking #397
UTR Rating 10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #568
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -226,0000
rank_ratio 0,4515
log_rank_ratio -0,7953
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -238,0000
best_rank_diff -35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -54,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,2444
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -47,2355
first_serve_won_diff -61,9000
second_serve_won_diff -45,8000
bp_saved_diff -56,2000
bp_converted_diff -56,9000
aces_per_match_diff -1,2727
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -20,5200
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 40,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 66,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,4019
serve_consistency_p2 7,1841
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 43,3787
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2740
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1805
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3294
utr_p2 0,3294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21362
API ID 15309854
Gamdom ID 569292
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21362,
    "api_id": 15309854,
    "gamdom_id": 569292,
    "player1": "Ayano Shimizu",
    "player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T10:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.4,
      "p2": 1.12
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.48,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2816,
    "prob_p2": 0.7184,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7184,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 397,
      "utr_singles": 10.89,
      "utr_ranking": 568,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.89,
      "ranking": 568,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.45145631067961167,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -238,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -56.2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7952766756363251,
    "rank_advantage": -226,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -54.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": -56.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -47.235454545454544,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2727272727272727,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -61.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.4018817204301115,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.184118378823531,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 43.37872776198137,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -45.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -20.520000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 40,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.274,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18054545454545456,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2444444444444451,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}