Carson Branstine vs Vera Zvonareva
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Carson Branstine
Carson …: 77,4% Vera …: 22,6%
¿Por qué Carson Branstine?
UTR 11,83 vs 11,43 (+0,57) — Niveles similares
Carson …
Sin datos
Vera …
W13-L1
93% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carson … Vera … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,58 2,24 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,43 77,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Carson …: +23,8% Vera …: -23,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carson Branstine
Ranking #180
UTR Rating 11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Vera Zvonareva
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #293
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Carson Branstine
Sin datos UTR v4
Vera Zvonareva
Record 2025 13W - 1L (93%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 320,0000
rank_ratio 2,7778
log_rank_ratio 1,0217
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 389,0000
best_rank_diff 328,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1175
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,5789
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 57,4675
first_serve_won_diff 65,3000
second_serve_won_diff 57,7250
bp_saved_diff 62,0250
bp_converted_diff 30,0250
aces_per_match_diff 3,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 90,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,0161
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,5413
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5700
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1800
elite_surface_amplifier 25,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5700
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,3847
utr_advantage 4,9329
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21363
API ID 15309846
Gamdom ID 569288
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21363,
    "api_id": 15309846,
    "gamdom_id": 569288,
    "player1": "Carson Branstine",
    "player2": "Vera Zvonareva",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T09:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7742,
    "prob_p2": 0.2258,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7742,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 180,
      "utr_singles": 11.83,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.43,
      "utr_ranking": 293,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 13,
      "utr_v4_losses": 1,
      "utr_v4_wr": 92.85714285714286,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.29,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Tara Wuerth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tereza Martincova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.24,
          "opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.92,
          "opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.621912+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.83,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.43,
      "ranking": 293,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 2.7777777777777777,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 389,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 62.025000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.932929467762876,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 328,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0216512475319812,
    "rank_advantage": 320,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 30.025,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 57.4675,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 65.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.016118641224148,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.541281188299532,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.57894736842105,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 57.724999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5700000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17999999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1175438596491243,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}