Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Selena Janicijevic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 13:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ekaterine …: 51,8% Selena …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,38 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ekaterine … Selena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,50 2,43 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,93 2,08 51,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Ekaterine …: -7,0% Selena …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking #169
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #202
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Selena Janicijevic
Ranking #223
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #321
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 36,0000
rank_ratio 1,2011
log_rank_ratio 0,1833
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 54,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5953
surface_matches_ratio 0,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,8421
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,6800
first_serve_won_diff -2,9000
second_serve_won_diff 7,1000
bp_saved_diff -9,0000
bp_converted_diff -10,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 4,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,6610
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 60,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0600
serve_consistency_p2 11,5813
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0360
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,4212
utr_p2 0,3965
utr_advantage 1,8301
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21364
API ID 15309850
Gamdom ID 569295
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21364,
    "api_id": 15309850,
    "gamdom_id": 569295,
    "player1": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
    "player2": "Selena Janicijevic",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T09:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5185,
    "prob_p2": 0.4815,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5185,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 169,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 202,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 223,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 321,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 202,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 321,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.396470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2011173184357542,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 54,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 3.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8300653594771314,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.18325222228690782,
    "rank_advantage": 36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.6799999999999997,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.060020642119154,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.581324546535242,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.84210526315789,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.099999999999987,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.660999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03600000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5953216374269,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}