Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Selena Janicijevic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 13:05
04 Ene 2026, 13:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ekaterine …: 51,8%
Selena …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,38
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterine … | Selena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,43 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,93 | 2,08 | 51,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ekaterine …: -7,0%
Selena …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#202
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Selena Janicijevic
Ranking
#223
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#321
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2011 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1833 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 54,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,5953 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,8421 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,6800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 4,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,6610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0600 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5813 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0360 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3965 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8301 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21364
API ID
15309850
Gamdom ID
569295
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21364,
"api_id": 15309850,
"gamdom_id": 569295,
"player1": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"player2": "Selena Janicijevic",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T09:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.43
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.55
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5185,
"prob_p2": 0.4815,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5185,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 223,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 321,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 321,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.396470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 1.2011173184357542,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 54,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 3.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.8300653594771314,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.18325222228690782,
"rank_advantage": 36,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.6799999999999997,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.8999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.060020642119154,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.581324546535242,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.84210526315789,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.099999999999987,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.660999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03600000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5953216374269,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}