Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales vs Anastasia Gasanova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 10:35
04 Ene 2026, 10:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Gasanova
Guiomar …: 34,1%
Anastasia …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Anastasia Gasanova?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,68
(-0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Guiomar … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,94 | 1,52 | 34,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Guiomar …: -7,1%
Anastasia …: +7,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking
#213
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1630 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1510 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 49,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,0007 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 34,3956 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5167 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -15,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 18,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 87,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6216 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8347 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,0347 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1967 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1967 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -33,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1718 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21366
API ID
15309852
Gamdom ID
569289
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21366,
"api_id": 15309852,
"gamdom_id": 569289,
"player1": "Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales",
"player2": "Anastasia Gasanova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T06:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3405,
"prob_p2": 0.6595,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6595,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 204,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 213,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 204,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 1.1630434782608696,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 49,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.10000000000000853,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -0.17182130584192074,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -47,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.15104025741286592,
"rank_advantage": 30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 18.800000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.516666666666673,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -15.500000000000007,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.621589927377278,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.834743839489748,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.03467524709553,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.395604395604394,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.970000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -33.33333333333333,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 87,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19666666666666677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19666666666666655,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.000732600732595,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}