Himeno Sakatsume vs Carol Young-suh Lee
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 06:35
04 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno …: 57,5%
Carol …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,65
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Himeno … | Carol … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Himeno …: -0,2%
Carol …: +0,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Carol Young-suh Lee
Ranking
#210
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#197
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3462 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2973 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9169 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,2086 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -22,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 69,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1311 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,7912 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,1232 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0540 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7,1429 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9414 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21367
API ID
15309853
Gamdom ID
569303
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21367,
"api_id": 15309853,
"gamdom_id": 569303,
"player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"player2": "Carol Young-suh Lee",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5745,
"prob_p2": 0.4255,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5745,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 210,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 197,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 197,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 1.3461538461538463,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 115,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -22.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.941377834830975,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 55,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2972515234679317,
"rank_advantage": 54,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.208571428571439,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.7142857142857144,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6999999999999886,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.131100696753788,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.7911595802237112,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.123225167628082,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.100000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7000000000000028,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.142857142857139,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01742857142857135,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05400000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9168831168831146,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}