Himeno Sakatsume vs Carol Young-suh Lee
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno …: 57,5% Carol …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,65 (+0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Himeno … Carol … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,40 2,75 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Himeno …: -0,2% Carol …: +0,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Carol Young-suh Lee
Ranking #210
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #197
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 54,0000
rank_ratio 1,3462
log_rank_ratio 0,2973
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 115,0000
best_rank_diff 55,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9169
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,3247
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,2086
first_serve_won_diff 0,7000
second_serve_won_diff -7,1000
bp_saved_diff -22,0000
bp_converted_diff 9,9000
aces_per_match_diff -2,7143
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,7000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 58,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 69,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1311
serve_consistency_p2 2,7912
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,1232
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0174
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0540
elite_surface_amplifier 7,1429
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,4400
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage 0,9414
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21367
API ID 15309853
Gamdom ID 569303
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21367,
    "api_id": 15309853,
    "gamdom_id": 569303,
    "player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "player2": "Carol Young-suh Lee",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5745,
    "prob_p2": 0.4255,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5745,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 210,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 197,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 197,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3461538461538463,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 115,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -22.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.941377834830975,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 55,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2972515234679317,
    "rank_advantage": 54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857139,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.208571428571439,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.7142857142857144,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6999999999999886,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.131100696753788,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.7911595802237112,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.123225167628082,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7000000000000028,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 7.142857142857139,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 58,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01742857142857135,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05400000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9168831168831146,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}